So, I'm having second thoughts. I've already "picked up my dice" so i can't actually make a different move at this point, but consider the merits of 22/16 7/6 :
This move gives six shakes to point on the head your blot, vs only one pointing roll for my move. OTOH, it gives 5 shakes for the Herd to hit vs only one shake for my move. Is this extra benefit worth the risk? I might well be - I'm relieved that I finally escaped the 5 prime, so my human inclination is to err on the safe side here. Perhaps that's an overly emotional response.
Note that the middle of the road move 22/15 gives the Herd 4 rolls to hit but only gives me three covers. Giving up 5 shots to gain 6 covers has to be better than giving up 4 to gain three. The question is whether giving up 1 shot to gain 1 cover is better.
I'll stick with my original move - winning this game being the first priority. But I'm not nearly sure. Other opinions?