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Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1

Author Topic: Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1  (Read 6032 times)

Offline diane

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Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1
« on: October 24, 2011, 08:09:10 PM »
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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1
« on: October 24, 2011, 08:09:10 PM »

Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1
« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2011, 08:18:23 PM »
The hit is abundantly clear.  Then the question becomes: do I anchor on the deuce point or stay split?

The Herd still has no builders aimed at my blots, so they aren't in immediate danger.  The two point is not exactly much of a prize, so I'll stay split.  The three point would be nice, so I'll slot it.  23/22 13/10*

Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 2, move 3: ah_clem 3-1
« Reply #2 on: October 26, 2011, 09:24:48 PM »
In case anyone is interested, I rolled this one out.  Anchoring on the two is a whopper with cheese.


    1. Rollout          23/22 13/10*                 Eq.:  -0.291
       0.436 0.126 0.007 - 0.564 0.178 0.010 CL  -0.193 CF  -0.291
      [0.002 0.002 0.006 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.005 CF   0.011]

    2. Rollout          13/10*/9                     Eq.:  -0.365 ( -0.074)
       0.419 0.120 0.010 - 0.581 0.190 0.012 CL  -0.255 CF  -0.365
      [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 CL   0.006 CF   0.013]

    3. Rollout          13/10* 6/5                   Eq.:  -0.415 ( -0.124)
       0.407 0.118 0.006 - 0.593 0.190 0.011 CL  -0.279 CF  -0.415
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.005 CF   0.012]

    4. Rollout          24/23 13/10*                 Eq.:  -0.437 ( -0.147)
       0.394 0.115 0.006 - 0.606 0.181 0.012 CL  -0.295 CF  -0.437
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.006 CF   0.012]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931925857 and quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]



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