Game 5, move 18: ah_clem 5-2

[diane]

[ah_clem]

I'm going to make the two point here.  The other option is 24/22 9/4.

The usual wisdom in a backgame is to make your points in order and emphasize mobility, and this advice argues for 24/22 9/4.  But this isn't really a backgame - it's more of a holding game although somewhat of an odd one.

So I'm going to make a fourth homeboard point and cover the blot, which seems more "normal" than leaving the blot uncovered.

9/2

[ah_clem]

Housekeeping note:  I'm off on another ski trip, this one to Canada.  There's supposed to be wi-fi at the condo, so I should be able to play along on my ipod touch.  But comments will be brief because I hate typing on the damned thing.

In other news, I'm doing a rollout of this play - anybody want to weigh on on the merits of my choice or alternatives?  I'll post the rollout later today.

[ah_clem]

ROLLOUT

(click to show/hide)

So, who hits loose here?



    1. Rollout          9/4 5/3*             Eq.:  -0.187
       0.406 0.129 0.025 - 0.594 0.424 0.117 CL  -0.187 CF  -0.187
      [0.003 0.005 0.003 - 0.003 0.006 0.006 CL   0.005 CF   0.005]

    2. Rollout          9/2                 Eq.:  -0.217 ( -0.030)
       0.391 0.150 0.016 - 0.609 0.329 0.051 CL  -0.217 CF  -0.217
      [0.002 0.005 0.002 - 0.002 0.008 0.004 CL   0.004 CF   0.004]

    3. Rollout          18/13 5/3*          Eq.:  -0.254 ( -0.067)
       0.373 0.116 0.018 - 0.627 0.502 0.245 CL  -0.254 CF  -0.254
      [0.003 0.005 0.002 - 0.003 0.006 0.008 CL   0.006 CF   0.006]

    4. Rollout          24/22 9/4           Eq.:  -0.273 ( -0.086)
       0.363 0.116 0.008 - 0.637 0.362 0.061 CL  -0.273 CF  -0.273
      [0.002 0.005 0.001 - 0.002 0.007 0.005 CL   0.004 CF   0.004]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 913183576 and
quasi-random dice
        Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
        keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within
equity 0.16
        Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
        Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]