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Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1

Author Topic: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1  (Read 4375 times)

Offline diane

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Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« on: March 24, 2013, 01:55:19 AM »
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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« on: March 24, 2013, 01:55:19 AM »

Offline KDP

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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2013, 12:25:10 PM »
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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #1 on: March 24, 2013, 12:25:10 PM »

Offline Julia_H

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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #2 on: March 24, 2013, 06:25:38 PM »
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Offline stog

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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2013, 06:31:39 PM »
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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #3 on: March 24, 2013, 06:31:39 PM »

Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #4 on: March 25, 2013, 01:48:41 PM »
I missed the voting period, but i would have gone for making the 5 point. My first instinct was to POH, and this may well be correct, but upon further reflection I came to like priming better.  Why?

Well, for one we're not likely to score a gammon here, so an aggressive attacking play isn't as valuable as usual.  Regardless of whether he's on the bar against a 5 point board or trapped behind a 5 prime he needs an 11/36 shake to enter/leap.   The difference is what happens when he misses - if he's on the bar his strong board remains intact while if he's stuck behind the prime his board crunches.  So I think we come out a bit better when he misses from behind the prime than when he misses from the bar, while it looks like a wash when he shakes the 11/36.  Well, not quite, since he still has to make it around the outfield and if we get a hit with the  5 filled in we have much better containment than if we have the ace.

All that said, I think the real deciding factor is which play allows us to cash more often.  I'm not entirely sure, but I think after a miss we're better off when his board starts to deteriorate.

I'm going to hold off on rolling this one out so as not to tip the upcoming cube decision.


Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 1, move 9: Herd 1-1
« Reply #5 on: March 26, 2013, 02:46:25 PM »
ROLLOUT

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