fibsboard match 20 Game 3 Herd MOVE 23

[stog]

roman danced twice more

we had a move that I made for the Herd (64 9/off)

and now we have a 5/2

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

Ripping off two forces us to leave a shot if we  roll 65. 5/off 5/3 forces us to leave a shot with 44, 55, or 66.  I'll go with fewer shots, but it's probably close.

[close]

[stog]

Spoiler

5/off 2/off was gnu's choice

[close]

[ah_clem]

XG rollout

Spoiler

XG says rip off two and leave fewer shots.  Sometimes this game is not all that complicated.



XGID=bBCBCD-b-----------cbbd---:0:0:1:52:2:2:0:7:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:2 O:2 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
|                  |   | O  O  O  O       |
|                  |   | O  O  O  O       |
|                  |   | O        O       |
|                  |   |          O       |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  | O |                  |
|                  | O |    X             |
|                  |   |    X  X     X    |
|                O |   |    X  X  X  X  X |
|                O |   |    X  X  X  X  X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 46  O: 134 X-O: 2-2/7
Cube: 1
X to play 52

    1. Rollout¹    5/Off 2/Off                  eq:+1.802
      Player:   97.81% (G:90.01% B:1.58%)
      Opponent: 2.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
      Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.799..+1.804) - [100.0%]
      Duration: 19.6 seconds

    2. 4-ply       5/3 5/Off                    eq:+1.771 (-0.031)
      Player:   97.48% (G:87.44% B:1.12%)
      Opponent: 2.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    3. 3-ply       5/Off 4/2                    eq:+1.600 (-0.202)
      Player:   90.78% (G:78.69% B:1.21%)
      Opponent: 9.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

    4. 1-ply       5/Off 3/1                    eq:+1.261 (-0.541)
      Player:   77.43% (G:62.73% B:1.13%)
      Opponent: 22.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)


¹  1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
   Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

[close]