Classic pay-now-or-pay-later.
8/3 leaves seven shots or about 20% and if we're missed we'll almost certainly be able to clean up the straggler next roll.
4/1 3/1 is safe for now, but will leave a lot more shots if he enters and we roll poorly next time.
If we pay later:
- he has to enter
- we have to roll poorly
- then he has to hit
That's a lot of conditionals. Seems to add up to less than 20%. Seven shots seems like a lot to risk when we can leave none. I'll pay later.
4/1 3/1