Game 1, move 8, Herd to play 2-1

[Zorba]

dorbel pointed on us 8/3* 5/3
The Herd rolls a 2-1 from the bar

XGID=----aBB-D-B-eC-a-a-cbAb--A:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:5:10
GNUBg Id: zE7iAwSwecYBQg:cImoAAAAAAAA

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

Leaving more blots is not a good idea, and entering on the 23 puts it in range of the builder on the 17.  So enter with the one bar/24 and unstack the 8 with 8/6.  

Slotting with 8/7 is intriguing, but seems too risky.

[close]

[Zorba]

XG rollout:

Spoiler

Pretty clear:

    1. Rollout¹    Bar/24 8/6                   eq:-0,465
      Player  : 40,31% (G:10,13% B:0,64%)
      Opponent: 59,69% (G:22,47% B:1,11%)
      Confidence: ± 0,012 (-0,477<E<-0,453)
      Duration: 14 minutes 50 seconds

    2. Rollout¹    Bar/24 13/11                 eq:-0,539 (-0,074)
      Player  : 39,12% (G:9,68% B:0,61%)
      Opponent: 60,88% (G:24,81% B:1,55%)
      Confidence: ± 0,013 (-0,552<E<-0,526)
      Duration: 13 minutes 52 seconds

    3. Rollout¹    Bar/23 8/7                   eq:-0,558 (-0,093)
      Player  : 38,99% (G:9,08% B:0,86%)
      Opponent: 61,01% (G:26,35% B:2,01%)
      Confidence: ± 0,018 (-0,576<E<-0,540)
      Duration: 18 minutes 00 second


¹ 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
  Moves: 1 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply Red


eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

[close]