FIBS Board backgammon forum
Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM1 => Topic started by: blitzxz on May 14, 2009, 11:01:46 PM
11: 8/7(2) 6/5(2)
63: 24/15
Agree
Bob
This appears to be all decided now - but would someone care to explain why we didn't consider making our 5 point at all?
I can see we have a back runner to shift, and that this roll does it nicely, but not even a little moment on making the 5 point? :wacko:
Here's a quick eval. Running the backman is correct by a wide margin.
1. Cubeful 0-ply 24/15 MWC: 68.69%
0.650 0.171 0.006 - 0.350 0.082 0.001
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
2. Cubeful 0-ply 15/6 MWC: 59.20% ( -9.48%)
0.493 0.166 0.005 - 0.507 0.115 0.003
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
3. Cubeful 0-ply 24/21 15/9 MWC: 59.00% ( -9.69%)
0.495 0.161 0.008 - 0.505 0.129 0.004
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
4. Cubeful 0-ply 11/5 8/5 MWC: 58.77% ( -9.92%)
0.489 0.202 0.009 - 0.511 0.120 0.005
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
5. Cubeful 0-ply 24/21 8/2* MWC: 55.60% (-13.08%)
0.460 0.164 0.009 - 0.540 0.158 0.006
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
So it is - I am surprised it is that big a difference!!
There are 21 rolls that would hit one of our blots and put it behind a 4-prime!
(http://www.gellie.plus.com/Misc/DiceRollsExplorer_Loadsahits.gif)