Poll
Question: Move 
Option 1: 13/8
votes: 1
Option 2: 24/22, 13/10
votes: 0
Option 3: 24/21, 13/11
votes: 1
Option 4: 13/11, 13/10
votes: 1
Option 5: 24/21, 22/20
votes: 0
Option 6: 13/10, 6/4
votes: 1
Title: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: diane on November 16, 2012, 11:46:13 PM
Post by: diane on November 16, 2012, 11:46:13 PM
move?
Title: Re: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: stiefnu on November 17, 2012, 12:58:03 PM
Post by: stiefnu on November 17, 2012, 12:58:03 PM
Spoiler
We're way behind in the race, with a poor outfield. Taking a leaf out of dorbel's excellent daily blog, Im voting to unstack both of our heavy points with 13-10, 6-4.
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Title: Re: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: Julia_H on November 18, 2012, 03:07:11 PM
Post by: Julia_H on November 18, 2012, 03:07:11 PM
Yowch - really don't like 13/11, once the five is made that man really doesn't threaten to do very much. Must remember to vote tactically next time.
Title: Re: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: diane on November 18, 2012, 07:18:16 PM
Post by: diane on November 18, 2012, 07:18:16 PM
I probably should have extended the voting on this one - in the end I changed my vote to one which seemed to sum up what people wanted to do - when ah_clem gets to analysing..will be interested to see what that says!
Title: Re: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: ah_clem on November 19, 2012, 03:43:13 PM
Post by: ah_clem on November 19, 2012, 03:43:13 PM
I missed this one, but I would have voted for the simple 13/8 - unstack the midpoint, bring a spare to the 8, and leave the 3-1 stinger structure in the rear.
Title: Re: Game 3, crawford, move 3 : Herd 3-2
Post by: ah_clem on November 19, 2012, 03:50:08 PM
Post by: ah_clem on November 19, 2012, 03:50:08 PM
XG Roller++
steifnu had the right idea. Unstack & slot. But the other choices are not too far behind.
XGID=--a--BD-B---eD---d-e--B-A-:0:0:1:32:4:0:1:5:10
1. XG Roller++ 13/10 6/4 eq:+0.004
Player: 51.06% (G:15.33% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 48.94% (G:12.99% B:0.59%)
2. XG Roller++ 13/11 13/10 eq:-0.016 (-0.020)
Player: 50.03% (G:14.95% B:0.48%)
Opponent: 49.97% (G:12.62% B:0.55%)
3. XG Roller++ 24/21 13/11 eq:-0.025 (-0.029)
Player: 49.46% (G:13.27% B:0.39%)
Opponent: 50.54% (G:11.41% B:0.43%)
4. XG Roller++ 13/8 eq:-0.028 (-0.032)
Player: 49.29% (G:14.96% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 50.71% (G:11.06% B:0.45%)
5. XG Roller++ 13/11 6/3 eq:-0.040 (-0.044)
Player: 48.86% (G:14.55% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 51.14% (G:13.10% B:0.59%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Spoiler
steifnu had the right idea. Unstack & slot. But the other choices are not too far behind.
XGID=--a--BD-B---eD---d-e--B-A-:0:0:1:32:4:0:1:5:10
1. XG Roller++ 13/10 6/4 eq:+0.004
Player: 51.06% (G:15.33% B:0.50%)
Opponent: 48.94% (G:12.99% B:0.59%)
2. XG Roller++ 13/11 13/10 eq:-0.016 (-0.020)
Player: 50.03% (G:14.95% B:0.48%)
Opponent: 49.97% (G:12.62% B:0.55%)
3. XG Roller++ 24/21 13/11 eq:-0.025 (-0.029)
Player: 49.46% (G:13.27% B:0.39%)
Opponent: 50.54% (G:11.41% B:0.43%)
4. XG Roller++ 13/8 eq:-0.028 (-0.032)
Player: 49.29% (G:14.96% B:0.41%)
Opponent: 50.71% (G:11.06% B:0.45%)
5. XG Roller++ 13/11 6/3 eq:-0.040 (-0.044)
Player: 48.86% (G:14.55% B:0.43%)
Opponent: 51.14% (G:13.10% B:0.59%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
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