FIBS Board backgammon forum
Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 5 => Topic started by: Zorba on July 01, 2010, 12:44:27 AM
The Herd played the 4-2 pointing 8/4* 6/4; dorbel rolled a 1-5 off the bar missing our blot, but obviously hitting us on his acepoint B/24 6/1*. We danced with a 5-4.
Now it's dorbel in the comfy chair with a 6-3 to play:
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-5-83/game-1-move-16-dorbel-to-play-6-3/?action=dlattach;attach=4721;image)
XGID=-a-ABBB-A-B-bC-A-a-bbbbbaA:1:1:-1:63:0:0:0:5:10
GNUBg Id: bdsEAyC0TcYJQA:EYG5AAAAAAAA
comfy indeed .. i am squirming like hell sitting on an imaginary 4 cube whose edges are getting very sharp :wacko:
Q: how many ways can we roll and play a 11?
A: not enough :s49:
The temperature is lovely here in the bar - you all look a bit sweaty.... :blink:
:lol: :lol:
This looks pretty clear, 13/7, 13/10*. The six to the 7pt is a slot or a builder depending and shouldn't be wasted digging out the back man. He should get out easily later.
XG rollout:
Spoiler
XG liked 24/18 with the 6 on 3-ply, but reverses on rollout. A matter of balancing single wins, vs. (back)gammon wins and avoiding the fluke gammon loss.
1. Rollout¹ 13/7 13/10* eq:+1,753
Player : 86,72% (G:78,11% B:8,48%)
Opponent: 13,28% (G:2,11% B:0,27%)
Confidence: ± 0,006 (+1,747<E<+1,759)
Duration: 9 minutes 41 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 24/18 13/10* eq:+1,728 (-0,025)
Player : 87,22% (G:77,30% B:6,15%)
Opponent: 12,78% (G:2,52% B:0,47%)
Confidence: ± 0,006 (+1,722<E<+1,734)
Duration: 8 minutes 30 seconds
3. Rollout² 13/10* 10/4 eq:+1,691 (-0,062)
Player : 85,61% (G:76,60% B:7,71%)
Opponent: 14,39% (G:2,43% B:0,34%)
Confidence: ± 0,016 (+1,675<E<+1,707)
Duration: 1 minute 18 seconds
¹ 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 1 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply Red
² 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 1 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply Red
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.14, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross