Poll
Question: 6-1?
Option 1: 24/18 10/9
votes: 0
Option 2: 24/18 8/7
votes: 0
Option 3: 24/18 6/5
votes: 0
Option 4: 13/7 8/7
votes: 8
Option 5: 24/23 8/2*
votes: 0
Option 6: 8/2*/1*
votes: 0
Title: Game 2 Move 2 The Herd to play 6-1
Post by: ah_clem on October 19, 2010, 10:31:36 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 19, 2010, 10:31:36 PM
Zorba rolled a 4-2 and brought two down from the midpoint: 13/11 13/9.
So it's our move again. 6-1 is the roll.
Position ID: mGeTASjgc8YDIA
Match ID: cIm4AAAACAAA
So it's our move again. 6-1 is the roll.
Position ID: mGeTASjgc8YDIA
Match ID: cIm4AAAACAAA
Title: Re: Game 2 Move 2 The Herd to play 6-1
Post by: ah_clem on October 19, 2010, 10:37:25 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 19, 2010, 10:37:25 PM
Spoiler
With us leading in the match and the race, I don't see the reason for unnecessary risks. I'd like to run the backman, but don't see any good ways to do it with this roll, so the prosaic but solid 13/7 8/7 for me.
[close]
Title: Re: Game 2 Move 2 The Herd to play 6-1
Post by: ah_clem on October 20, 2010, 01:17:35 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 20, 2010, 01:17:35 PM
At 8-0 it's time to move this one along.
Title: Re: Game 2 Move 2 The Herd to play 6-1
Post by: ah_clem on October 21, 2010, 01:03:42 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 21, 2010, 01:03:42 PM
rollout
Another easy decision...
1. Rollout 13/7 8/7 Eq.: +0.053
0.517 0.130 0.012 - 0.483 0.154 0.006 CL +0.004 CF +0.053
[0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL 0.007 CF 0.015]
2. Rollout 8/2*/1* Eq.: -0.244 ( -0.297)
0.454 0.136 0.010 - 0.546 0.184 0.008 CL -0.160 CF -0.244
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 CL 0.006 CF 0.017]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 899112970 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Spoiler
Another easy decision...
1. Rollout 13/7 8/7 Eq.: +0.053
0.517 0.130 0.012 - 0.483 0.154 0.006 CL +0.004 CF +0.053
[0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL 0.007 CF 0.015]
2. Rollout 8/2*/1* Eq.: -0.244 ( -0.297)
0.454 0.136 0.010 - 0.546 0.184 0.008 CL -0.160 CF -0.244
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 CL 0.006 CF 0.017]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 899112970 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
[close]