Poll
Question: 
Option 1: Double
votes: 3
Option 2: Play on
votes: 4
Title: Herd: cube decision
Post by: diane on March 31, 2011, 10:49:20 AM
Post by: diane on March 31, 2011, 10:49:20 AM
Position ID: hs8HA0BtM8QEBg
Match ID: cAmgABAAAAAA
Whoops, yes gaspar rolled 3-6 and danced again
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-9/herd-cube-decision-3958/?action=dlattach;attach=5880;image)
Match ID: cAmgABAAAAAA
Whoops, yes gaspar rolled 3-6 and danced again
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-9/herd-cube-decision-3958/?action=dlattach;attach=5880;image)
Title: Re: Herd: cube decision
Post by: ah_clem on March 31, 2011, 12:39:42 PM
Post by: ah_clem on March 31, 2011, 12:39:42 PM
I presume gaspar danced again?
I'm going to continue to recuse myself on the cube decision.
I'm going to continue to recuse myself on the cube decision.
Title: Re: Herd: cube decision
Post by: ah_clem on April 07, 2011, 05:21:55 AM
Post by: ah_clem on April 07, 2011, 05:21:55 AM
Since we're now a couple of moves down the road and gaspar has escaped his runner and sent another two of our men back, I don't think I'm giving anything away by posting a rollout.
rollout
We've got a triple whopper here.
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.012 ( +0.012)
3. No double +0.668 ( -0.332)
Proper cube action: Double, pass
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.656 0.293 0.004 - 0.344 0.076 0.006 CL +0.537 CF +0.668
[0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.010]
Player shaul_r owns 2-cube:
0.660 0.283 0.004 - 0.340 0.088 0.009 CL +1.320 CF +1.012
[0.002 0.003 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 CL 0.013 CF 0.017]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877948922 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
rollout
Spoiler
We've got a triple whopper here.
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.012 ( +0.012)
3. No double +0.668 ( -0.332)
Proper cube action: Double, pass
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.656 0.293 0.004 - 0.344 0.076 0.006 CL +0.537 CF +0.668
[0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.010]
Player shaul_r owns 2-cube:
0.660 0.283 0.004 - 0.340 0.088 0.009 CL +1.320 CF +1.012
[0.002 0.003 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 CL 0.013 CF 0.017]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 877948922 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
[close]