Poll
Question: Move 
Option 1: 10/5, 9/8
votes: 4
Option 2: 10/5, 6/5
votes: 1
Option 3: 10/5, 7/6
votes: 0
Option 4: 21/20, 10/5
votes: 0
Option 5: 21/16, 9/8
votes: 0
Title: Game 2, move 13: Herd 5-1
Post by: diane on April 08, 2011, 11:47:26 PM
Post by: diane on April 08, 2011, 11:47:26 PM
Position ID: hs8PBgC2WQqADQ
Match ID: cImmABAAAAAA
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-9/game-2-move-13-herd-5-1/?action=dlattach;attach=6246;image)
Match ID: cImmABAAAAAA
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-9/game-2-move-13-herd-5-1/?action=dlattach;attach=6246;image)
Title: Re: Game 2, move 13: Herd 5-1
Post by: ah_clem on April 21, 2011, 01:13:19 PM
Post by: ah_clem on April 21, 2011, 01:13:19 PM
gnu's opinion
I didn't bother to roll this one out, but 2-ply analysis basically says "slot the 5 point" and whatever you do after that doesn't make much difference. The two plays getting votes are tied.
1. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 6/5 Eq.: -0.209
0.439 0.099 0.001 - 0.561 0.082 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 9/8 Eq.: -0.209 ( -0.000)
0.439 0.096 0.001 - 0.561 0.080 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 7/6 Eq.: -0.213 ( -0.004)
0.438 0.096 0.001 - 0.562 0.079 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4. Cubeful 2-ply 21/20 10/5 Eq.: -0.220 ( -0.011)
0.440 0.122 0.003 - 0.560 0.122 0.005
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 9/8 Eq.: -0.268 ( -0.059)
0.424 0.101 0.002 - 0.576 0.100 0.003
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 7/6 Eq.: -0.272 ( -0.063)
0.421 0.098 0.002 - 0.579 0.093 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Spoiler
I didn't bother to roll this one out, but 2-ply analysis basically says "slot the 5 point" and whatever you do after that doesn't make much difference. The two plays getting votes are tied.
1. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 6/5 Eq.: -0.209
0.439 0.099 0.001 - 0.561 0.082 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 9/8 Eq.: -0.209 ( -0.000)
0.439 0.096 0.001 - 0.561 0.080 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3. Cubeful 2-ply 10/5 7/6 Eq.: -0.213 ( -0.004)
0.438 0.096 0.001 - 0.562 0.079 0.001
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4. Cubeful 2-ply 21/20 10/5 Eq.: -0.220 ( -0.011)
0.440 0.122 0.003 - 0.560 0.122 0.005
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 9/8 Eq.: -0.268 ( -0.059)
0.424 0.101 0.002 - 0.576 0.100 0.003
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6. Cubeful 2-ply 21/16 7/6 Eq.: -0.272 ( -0.063)
0.421 0.098 0.002 - 0.579 0.093 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
[close]