FIBS Board backgammon forum
Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 16 => Topic started by: diane on October 30, 2013, 09:14:58 AM
move?
Regardless of the herd making the wrong play (as was done - leaving the 6-3 joker was probably correct due to the extremely close race) or the correct play, I run.
Had the 6-3 been left, herd would now have had a direct shot at me (and more hit and covers had I had to stop at the 4). With the race so close that was important.
See my comment about my voluntary leave of the 6-3 joker at the tournament over the weekend in the previous play.
With the race as it is I'm probably about 48% to win. With the 2 to hit herd would have been a heavy favorite, at the cost of the joker 6-3 (5.6%, far less than the gain on a 3-4, 3-5 or any 3)