Question:
herd 52
Option 1: 5/off 2/off
votes: 3
Option 2: 5/3 5/off
votes: 4
Option 3: 5/off 4/2
votes: 0
Option 4: 5/off 3/1
votes: 0
Spoiler
Ripping off two forces us to leave a shot if we roll 65. 5/off 5/3 forces us to leave a shot with 44, 55, or 66. I'll go with fewer shots, but it's probably close.
Spoiler
5/off 2/off was gnu's choice
XG rollout
Spoiler
XG says rip off two and leave fewer shots. Sometimes this game is not all that complicated.
XGID=bBCBCD-b-----------cbbd---:0:0:1:52:2:2:0:7:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:2 O:2 7 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O O O |
| | | O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | O | X |
| | | X X X |
| O | | X X X X X |
| O | | X X X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 46 O: 134 X-O: 2-2/7
Cube: 1
X to play 52
1. Rollout¹ 5/Off 2/Off eq:+1.802
Player: 97.81% (G:90.01% B:1.58%)
Opponent: 2.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+1.799..+1.804) - [100.0%]
Duration: 19.6 seconds
2. 4-ply 5/3 5/Off eq:+1.771 (-0.031)
Player: 97.48% (G:87.44% B:1.12%)
Opponent: 2.52% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3. 3-ply 5/Off 4/2 eq:+1.600 (-0.202)
Player: 90.78% (G:78.69% B:1.21%)
Opponent: 9.22% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4. 1-ply 5/Off 3/1 eq:+1.261 (-0.541)
Player: 77.43% (G:62.73% B:1.13%)
Opponent: 22.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2