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Position # 53

Started by PersianLord, March 09, 2009, 03:03:09 PM

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PersianLord

March 09, 2009, 03:03:09 PM
Position Information:

Pip-counts: Red 5-1 White
Score:        Red 0-0 White
Match:              3-pointer

Red on roll. Proper cube action?
The leftist's feelings of inferiority run so deep that he cannot tolerate any classification of some things as successful or superior and other things as failed or inferior. This also underlies the rejection by many leftists of the concept of mental illness and of the utility of IQ tests.  - T.K

PersianLord

#1
March 09, 2009, 03:11:37 PM
Spoiler
Position ID: AQAAKAAAAAAAAA , Match ID: UQlgAAAAAAAA

The only bad number for Red is 1. It's probability is 11/36 (~30%). But should White pass? No. If he passes, his equity in the next game (CR game) will be just 25%, but right now his chance to win this game is about 30%. So it's better for him to take, hoping that Red will roll a 1.


Cube analysis

2-ply cubeless equity  +0.389 (Money:  +0.389)
   69.4%   0.0%   0.0% -  30.6%   0.0%   0.0%

Cubeful equities:

1. Double, take         +0.761
2. Double, pass         +1.000  ( +0.239)
3. No double            +0.389  ( -0.372)

Proper cube action: Redouble, take

BTW, I will pass the cube if my opponent is resh_lakish.
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The leftist's feelings of inferiority run so deep that he cannot tolerate any classification of some things as successful or superior and other things as failed or inferior. This also underlies the rejection by many leftists of the concept of mental illness and of the utility of IQ tests.  - T.K
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