Game 1, move 16: Herd to move 3-2

Started by diane, August 09, 2010, 12:08:26 PM

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diane

August 09, 2010, 12:08:26 PM
d9sCADBu7w4AAA:QQmtAAAAAAAA

Never give up on the things that make you smile

PersianLord

#1
August 09, 2010, 02:41:36 PM
Spoiler
I don't see any value in 6-3/5-3. If we roll a 6-5 next turn, we will be exposed to a double shot; not a desirable position to be in. I voted 5-off, as I tend to clear my 5-pt in such situations.
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The leftist's feelings of inferiority run so deep that he cannot tolerate any classification of some things as successful or superior and other things as failed or inferior. This also underlies the rejection by many leftists of the concept of mental illness and of the utility of IQ tests.  - T.K

ah_clem

#2
August 09, 2010, 08:05:47 PM
 foo

ah_clem

#3
August 09, 2010, 08:07:19 PM Last Edit: August 09, 2010, 10:13:35 PM by ah_clem
Quote from: ah_clem on August 09, 2010, 08:05:47 PM
foo
Dont strip both 5 & 6 points. Clear from the rear.  6/3 2/off.  Trice's wave.

Zorba

#4
August 09, 2010, 08:24:57 PM
Spoiler

We want to take checkers off (to increase winning chances after getting hit and to win more gammons) and we want to clear points from the back, for safety purposes. This naturally leads to the move 6/3 2/off, stripping the sixpoint so we are ready to clear it with a good roll, and taking a checker off.

Compared to 5/off, this is much safer as we like to have spare fives to play, while waiting to clear the sixpoint, as fives don't play from the sixpoint.
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The fascist's feelings of insecurity run so deep that he desperately needs a classification of some things as successful or superior and other things as failed or inferior. This also underlies the fascist's embracement of concepts like mental illness and IQ tests.  - R.J.V.

Luck is my main skill

ah_clem

#5
August 15, 2010, 04:39:11 PM
rollout

Spoiler


Not much to add that hasn't been said before.  Zorba nailed it.


    1. Rollout          6/3 2/off                    Eq.:  +1.077
       0.949 0.145 0.005 - 0.051 0.000 0.000 CL  +1.101 CF  +1.077
      [0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 CL   0.003 CF   0.003]

    2. Rollout          6/3 4/2                      Eq.:  +1.016 ( -0.061)
       0.941 0.117 0.003 - 0.059 0.000 0.000 CL  +1.044 CF  +1.016
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 CL   0.003 CF   0.003]

    3. Rollout          5/off                        Eq.:  +1.010 ( -0.067)
       0.927 0.138 0.005 - 0.073 0.000 0.000 CL  +1.047 CF  +1.010
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 CL   0.003 CF   0.003]

    4. Rollout          6/3 5/3                      Eq.:  +0.966 ( -0.111)
       0.926 0.107 0.003 - 0.074 0.000 0.000 CL  +1.002 CF  +0.966
      [0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 CL   0.003 CF   0.003]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 893898012 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]



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