Game 3, move 1 : Herd 6-5

[diane]

move?

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

Gammons don't really do anything for us at this score, so it's a lot like DMP.

The double hit has some allure in that it knocks her off balance, but the race is more important at DMP than it usually is, and risking 24 pips for little racing advantage seems ill advised.  I'm opting for the prosaic lover's leap, but 13/7* 13/8 looks viable too.

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[diane]

Spoiler

Gammons don't really do anything for us at this score, so it's a lot like DMP.

I'm opting for the prosaic lover's leap

[close]

Spoiler

Backgammons would though 

You dont want to hit anything?? 

[close]

[stog]

Spoiler

wack wack -- we're the Herd! (besides if hit we then have some b'up if our illustrious Guest decides to double for home)

[close]

[stiefnu]

Spoiler

I'm assuming that the wack wack move is not 13-7*, 5-1* but 13-7*, 6-1*!  Anyway, the double hit surely has to be correct.

[close]

[diane]

Spoiler

I'm assuming that the wack wack move is not 13-7*, 5-1* but 13-7*, 6-1*! 

[close]

I have no idea what you mean 

[ah_clem]

XG Roller ++

Spoiler

WHACK WHACK is correct, even at this score.


XGID=-a--B-CaC--BbCb--d-e----B-:0:0:1:65:0:4:1:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:4 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X  O        O    |   | O              X |
| X  O        O    |   | O              X |
| X           O    |   | O                |
|             O    |   | O                |
|                  |   | O                |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|             X    |   | X                |
| O  X        X    |   | X     X          |
| O  X        X  O |   | X     X        O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 159  O: 152 X-O: 0-4/5 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 65

    1. XG Roller++ 13/7* 6/1*                   eq:+0.183
      Player:   57.73% (G:23.78% B:0.81%)
      Opponent: 42.27% (G:11.67% B:0.73%)

    2. XG Roller++ 13/7* 11/6                   eq:+0.157 (-0.026)
      Player:   56.30% (G:21.93% B:1.21%)
      Opponent: 43.70% (G:11.88% B:0.75%)

    3. XG Roller++ 13/8 13/7*                   eq:+0.128 (-0.054)
      Player:   54.98% (G:19.69% B:1.19%)
      Opponent: 45.02% (G:12.37% B:0.80%)

    4. XG Roller++ 13/7* 7/2                    eq:+0.121 (-0.062)
      Player:   54.75% (G:20.20% B:0.89%)
      Opponent: 45.25% (G:12.66% B:0.79%)

    5. XG Roller++ 24/13                        eq:+0.115 (-0.068)
      Player:   54.97% (G:12.52% B:0.48%)
      Opponent: 45.03% (G:9.26% B:0.27%)

    6. XG Roller++ 13/7* 8/3                    eq:+0.105 (-0.077)
      Player:   53.94% (G:19.46% B:1.00%)
      Opponent: 46.06% (G:14.22% B:1.14%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

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