Game 3, move 2 : Herd 5-3

[diane]

move?

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

Definitely unstack the bloated midpoint.  Then it's a question of whether to keep moving and slot the 5, unstack the 6, or get the runner going.

He's got 9 checkers in the zone right now, and will have more in a roll or two, so there's no better time than right now to get the runner moving.  I  like the spare on the 8, and 6/3 accomplishes little, so 24/21 it is.

[close]

[KDP]

Spoiler

13-8 24-21

[close]

[ah_clem]

XGR++

Spoiler

XG likes the herd's play best, although 13/5 is not too far behind.




XGID=----B-DbB---dFa--c-e----A-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:13:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 13 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X  O        O    |   | O              X |
| X           O    |   | O                |
| X           O    |   | O                |
| X                |   | O                |
| 6                |   | O                |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   |                  |
| O                |   | X                |
| O                |   | X                |
| O           X  O |   | X     X          |
| O           X  O |   | X     X          |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 150  O: 153 X-O: 0-0/13
Cube: 1
X to play 53

    1. XG Roller++ 24/21 13/8                   eq:+0.036
      Player:   51.83% (G:5.94% B:0.17%)
      Opponent: 48.17% (G:7.50% B:0.16%)

    2. XG Roller++ 13/5                         eq:+0.006 (-0.030)
      Player:   50.30% (G:8.37% B:0.22%)
      Opponent: 49.70% (G:8.61% B:0.21%)

    3. XG Roller++ 13/10 13/8                   eq:-0.003 (-0.039)
      Player:   49.77% (G:8.90% B:0.24%)
      Opponent: 50.23% (G:8.71% B:0.22%)

    4. XG Roller++ 13/8 6/3                     eq:-0.038 (-0.074)
      Player:   49.28% (G:8.23% B:0.21%)
      Opponent: 50.72% (G:9.52% B:0.23%)

    5. 3-ply       8/3 6/3                      eq:-0.077 (-0.112)
      Player:   47.79% (G:9.61% B:0.27%)
      Opponent: 52.21% (G:10.38% B:0.27%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

[close]