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Game 5, move 6 : Herd 5-2

Started by diane, May 16, 2013, 09:01:18 PM

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diane

Never give up on the things that make you smile

KDP

Spoiler
this is an interesting position.  we are ahead in the race and have fewer men back than our opponent yet i think we are a pretty big underdog to win this game. so whats our plan?  i dont want to hit loose and we cant leave more blots so the 5 is 9-4, so what the play for the 2? i think we have to move up to the edge of his prime.  that gives us a decent chance to either jump out or anchor assuming we arent hit.  if we play passively and move 6-4 we are asking to get primed.  i'll take my chances coming in under the gun. 23-21 9-4
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ah_clem

rollout

Spoiler

This one is as obvious as it seemed. 2nd best is up for grabs, but who cares about that?






XGID=-a--BbDBBA--aB--bbbcb--AA-:0:0:1:52:4:1:1:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:4 O:1 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X        O  O  O |   | O  O        X  X |
| X        O  O  O |   | O  O             |
|                  |   | O                |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |   | X                |
|                  |   | X                |
|             X  X |   | X  O  X          |
| O        X  X  X |   | X  O  X        O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 144  O: 153 X-O: 4-1/5 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 52

    1. XG Roller++ 23/21 9/4                    eq:-0.527
      Player:   33.53% (G:9.00% B:0.42%)
      Opponent: 66.47% (G:19.19% B:0.86%)

    2. XG Roller++ 24/22 9/4                    eq:-0.605 (-0.078)
      Player:   29.88% (G:6.98% B:0.28%)
      Opponent: 70.12% (G:19.68% B:0.74%)

    3. XG Roller++ 23/21 6/1*                   eq:-0.606 (-0.079)
      Player:   31.13% (G:8.28% B:0.37%)
      Opponent: 68.87% (G:22.15% B:1.55%)

    4. 3-ply       9/4 6/4                      eq:-0.620 (-0.093)
      Player:   28.92% (G:6.84% B:0.27%)
      Opponent: 71.08% (G:19.26% B:0.93%)

    5. 3-ply       9/7 6/1*                     eq:-0.628 (-0.101)
      Player:   28.58% (G:6.22% B:0.18%)
      Opponent: 71.42% (G:19.36% B:1.04%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2


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