Game 1, move 1 : Herd 6-1

[diane]

Roderick rolled 6-1 and I took the liberty of guessing he would move 13/7*, 8/7.

Herd is on the bar, looking for a play for this 6-1

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

I'm not thrilled about slotting the bar here since it's almost even money that it will be hit, and better than even that R will hit one of the blots.

But the alternative is to play deep into the homeboard, which seems worse.

bar/24 13/7

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[Zorba]

Spoiler

I vote for B/24 9/3, it's clearly fewer shots, it's only one blot, and it seems easier to clean up, so that we may have an easier time developing our backcheckers. If we can make the threepoint because of the slot that's still pretty good.

[close]

[Roderick]

Thanks - yes, that was my play   

[Roderick]

I've made my next play to speed things up - if it's not an easy hitting or pointing play I'll comment.  I average a 0.0036 error the next play.  All this, assuming either of the 2 better plays are made.

[diane]

WOW..this is...unusual

Thanks! 

[ah_clem]

XGR++

Spoiler

XGR++ prefers slotting the bar, but not by a lot.  




XGID=-b----E-CA--dD---bbe----AA:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X           O  O |   | O              X |
| X           O  O |   | O                |
| X                |   | O                |
| X                |   | O                |
|                  | X | O                |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   | X                |
| O                |   | X                |
| O           X    |   | X                |
| O           X    |   | X              O |
| O        X  X    |   | X              O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 164  O: 160 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 61

   1. XG Roller++ Bar/24 13/7                  eq:-0.344
     Player:   41.96% (G:11.41% B:0.52%)
     Opponent: 58.04% (G:17.70% B:1.21%)

   2. XG Roller++ Bar/24 9/3                   eq:-0.378 (-0.034)
     Player:   41.18% (G:10.72% B:0.49%)
     Opponent: 58.82% (G:17.71% B:0.99%)

   3. 3-ply       Bar/24 8/2                   eq:-0.447 (-0.103)
     Player:   39.40% (G:10.46% B:0.51%)
     Opponent: 60.60% (G:19.09% B:1.44%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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