Game 2, move 3: Roderick 5-4

[diane]

move? [this feels weird  ]

[Roderick]

Sorry.  I got back in last night.  Had a busy tourney.  I'll be back to pre-moving after this play

I'm torn between hitting one and hitting two.  I'm going to opt for 13/4*.  You're board is completely unmade which seems to cry out for the more aggressive play but it leaves me a touch stripped with 2 checkers to bring around.  Both plays seem pretty decent.  4 fewer return hits with my play but since they're all on my 4 the extra 5 hits are more painful.

[Roderick]

Since I just did th rollout on herd's last play figured I'd do one on my 5-4 here.

The double hit is correct (86.5% likelihood - only 1296 on the rollout) of being correct and was 0.010 better than the single hit.