Poll
I'm not at all sure about this one, but my take is that with us behind in the race we should maintain as much contact as possible, so entering on the 22 looks better than entering on the 20. Then we want to threaten her runners, so 11/6 to bring another builder to bear on the lower homeboard points. The 11 point isn't doing much for us at this point.
bar/22 11/6.
The blotty play favored by the Herd looks reasonable since she only has half a roll to use, but I prefer a more aggressive play. Moving two backmen without anchoring just seems passive.
Question: Move 
Option 1: Bar/20, 7/4
votes: 1
Option 2: Bar/22, 11/6
votes: 1
Option 3: Bar/20, 11/8
votes: 0
Option 4: Bar/20, 24/21
votes: 4
Option 5: Bar/20, 13/10
votes: 0
Title: Game 3, move 2 : Herd 5-3
Post by: diane on July 16, 2012, 08:36:56 PM
Post by: diane on July 16, 2012, 08:36:56 PM
Julia rolled 4-1 and entered and hit on the 1.
More options are available of course..on demand.
More options are available of course..on demand.
Title: Re: Game 3, move 2 : Herd 5-3
Post by: Dungeoneer on July 17, 2012, 12:04:50 AM
Post by: Dungeoneer on July 17, 2012, 12:04:50 AM
Spoiler
No time for any chickening; lifting with 7/4 postpones the hitting contest despite us having the stronger board right now but likely not for long if we sit on our hands.
So I go for the trophy with Bar/20, 24/21 right now.
So I go for the trophy with Bar/20, 24/21 right now.
[close]
Title: Re: Game 3, move 2 : Herd 5-3
Post by: ah_clem on July 17, 2012, 02:38:13 PM
Post by: ah_clem on July 17, 2012, 02:38:13 PM
Spoiler
I'm not at all sure about this one, but my take is that with us behind in the race we should maintain as much contact as possible, so entering on the 22 looks better than entering on the 20. Then we want to threaten her runners, so 11/6 to bring another builder to bear on the lower homeboard points. The 11 point isn't doing much for us at this point.
bar/22 11/6.
The blotty play favored by the Herd looks reasonable since she only has half a roll to use, but I prefer a more aggressive play. Moving two backmen without anchoring just seems passive.
[close]
Title: Re: Game 3, move 2 : Herd 5-3
Post by: ah_clem on July 17, 2012, 10:18:56 PM
Post by: ah_clem on July 17, 2012, 10:18:56 PM
XG roller ++
The Herd gets it right again.
XGID=aa--B-BAC--BbBb--d-e----BA:0:0:1:53:0:4:1:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:4 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X |
| X O O | | O X |
| O | | O |
| O | | O |
| | X | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| X | | |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 172 O: 159 X-O: 0-4/5 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 53
1. XG Roller++ Bar/20 24/21 eq:+0.113
Player: 54.57% (G:15.81% B:0.85%)
Opponent: 45.43% (G:13.03% B:0.71%)
2. XG Roller++ Bar/20 13/10 eq:+0.089 (-0.025)
Player: 53.23% (G:16.19% B:1.00%)
Opponent: 46.77% (G:15.40% B:1.41%)
3. XG Roller++ Bar/22 11/6 eq:+0.073 (-0.041)
Player: 52.40% (G:17.61% B:0.95%)
Opponent: 47.60% (G:14.82% B:1.17%)
4. XG Roller++ Bar/20 7/4 eq:+0.071 (-0.042)
Player: 52.42% (G:16.76% B:0.86%)
Opponent: 47.58% (G:13.10% B:0.81%)
5. XG Roller++ Bar/20 11/8 eq:+0.052 (-0.061)
Player: 51.55% (G:15.50% B:0.83%)
Opponent: 48.45% (G:14.73% B:1.13%)
6. XG Roller++ Bar/20 8/5 eq:+0.044 (-0.069)
Player: 51.17% (G:14.77% B:0.79%)
Opponent: 48.83% (G:17.06% B:1.58%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Spoiler
The Herd gets it right again.
XGID=aa--B-BAC--BbBb--d-e----BA:0:0:1:53:0:4:1:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:4 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O O | | O X |
| X O O | | O X |
| O | | O |
| O | | O |
| | X | O |
| |BAR| |
| | O | |
| | | |
| X | | |
| O X X | | X X |
| O X X X | | X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 172 O: 159 X-O: 0-4/5 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 53
1. XG Roller++ Bar/20 24/21 eq:+0.113
Player: 54.57% (G:15.81% B:0.85%)
Opponent: 45.43% (G:13.03% B:0.71%)
2. XG Roller++ Bar/20 13/10 eq:+0.089 (-0.025)
Player: 53.23% (G:16.19% B:1.00%)
Opponent: 46.77% (G:15.40% B:1.41%)
3. XG Roller++ Bar/22 11/6 eq:+0.073 (-0.041)
Player: 52.40% (G:17.61% B:0.95%)
Opponent: 47.60% (G:14.82% B:1.17%)
4. XG Roller++ Bar/20 7/4 eq:+0.071 (-0.042)
Player: 52.42% (G:16.76% B:0.86%)
Opponent: 47.58% (G:13.10% B:0.81%)
5. XG Roller++ Bar/20 11/8 eq:+0.052 (-0.061)
Player: 51.55% (G:15.50% B:0.83%)
Opponent: 48.45% (G:14.73% B:1.13%)
6. XG Roller++ Bar/20 8/5 eq:+0.044 (-0.069)
Player: 51.17% (G:14.77% B:0.79%)
Opponent: 48.83% (G:17.06% B:1.58%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
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