Match 1, Game 3, Move 6 factotum&forum

[blitzxz]

11: 8/7(2) 6/5(2)

[blitzxz]

63: 24/15

[NIHILIST]

Agree


Bob

[diane]

This appears to be all decided now - but would someone care to explain why we didn't consider making our 5 point at all?

I can see we have a back runner to shift, and that this roll does it nicely, but not even a little moment on making the 5 point? 

[ah_clem]

Here's a quick eval.  Running the backman is correct by a wide margin.

    1. Cubeful 0-ply    24/15                        MWC:  68.69%
       0.650 0.171 0.006 - 0.350 0.082 0.001
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
    2. Cubeful 0-ply    15/6                         MWC:  59.20% ( -9.48%)
       0.493 0.166 0.005 - 0.507 0.115 0.003
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
    3. Cubeful 0-ply    24/21 15/9                   MWC:  59.00% ( -9.69%)
       0.495 0.161 0.008 - 0.505 0.129 0.004
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
    4. Cubeful 0-ply    11/5 8/5                     MWC:  58.77% ( -9.92%)
       0.489 0.202 0.009 - 0.511 0.120 0.005
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
    5. Cubeful 0-ply    24/21 8/2*                   MWC:  55.60% (-13.08%)
       0.460 0.164 0.009 - 0.540 0.158 0.006
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

[diane]

So it is - I am surprised it is that big a difference!!

[playBunny]

There are 21 rolls that would hit one of our blots and put it behind a 4-prime!