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Game 1, move 1 : Herd 3-2

Started by diane, August 18, 2012, 11:14:01 PM

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diane

Never give up on the things that make you smile

ah_clem

Spoiler

I voted for S because playing on both sides of the board seemed right.  But I actually preferred Z since it places a checker 6 pips away from a point Patti wants to keep vs S which puts a blot 6 pips away from a point she wants to clear.

Nobody else went for Z, so i voted strategically.  I'll roll it out tomorrow.

[close]

ah_clem

rollout

Spoiler

S comes out better than Z by a negligible amount. U is close behind, followed by 8 and D.


XGID=---Bb-D-B---cE-b-c-e----B-:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:5:10



    1. Rollout¹    24/21 13/11                  eq:-0.327
      Player:   42.91% (G:9.89% B:0.40%)
      Opponent: 57.09% (G:16.43% B:0.75%)
      Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.341..-0.313) - [85.2%]
      Duration: 26 minutes 10 seconds

    2. Rollout¹    24/22 13/10                  eq:-0.338 (-0.011)
      Player:   42.37% (G:10.16% B:0.57%)
      Opponent: 57.63% (G:16.95% B:0.90%)
      Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.351..-0.324) - [14.2%]
      Duration: 26 minutes 50 seconds

    3. Rollout¹    24/22 24/21                  eq:-0.350 (-0.023)
      Player:   42.51% (G:9.06% B:0.41%)
      Opponent: 57.49% (G:16.90% B:0.65%)
      Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.364..-0.336) - [0.6%]
      Duration: 25 minutes 22 seconds

    4. Rollout¹    13/8                         eq:-0.384 (-0.057)
      Player:   41.73% (G:8.77% B:0.29%)
      Opponent: 58.27% (G:16.95% B:0.62%)
      Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.398..-0.370) - [0.0%]
      Duration: 23 minutes 45 seconds

    5. Rollout¹    13/11 13/10                  eq:-0.390 (-0.063)
      Player:   41.54% (G:10.49% B:0.61%)
      Opponent: 58.46% (G:18.03% B:1.14%)
      Confidence: ±0.014 (-0.405..-0.376) - [0.0%]
      Duration: 25 minutes 57 seconds


¹  1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
   Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2


[close]

diane

Quote from: ah_clem on August 20, 2012, 09:17:21 PM
S comes out better than Z by a negligible amount. U is close behind, followed by 8 and D.

:blink: :blink:

what is this boy on? I think he needs reprogramming...
Never give up on the things that make you smile

ah_clem

Doesn't everybody here readNactation?

More details at Nack's site.