Game 3, move 19: Herd to redouble?

[diane]

Thought I would stop to see what the herd makes of this position for a recube to 4

[Julia_H]

Well, if Roderick drops he's down to 4-away Crawford, which means he can take and play for the match as deep as 19%. I think he has that, but not much to spare - we have 9 rolls that make the game a near-lock, another 8 that put him on the roof against a 5-point board, no immediately bad rolls and if he doesn't pop a 3 quickly then his board breaks and most of the pips are wasted. We're risking 40% to gain 19%, so we're comfortably within our doubling window. Ship it over.