Game 3, move 28: Herd to move 4-1

[diane]

interesting times....

r_monk rolled 6-2, no legal moves...herd rolled 5-5, one legal move - 6/1 (4)
r_monk rolled 6-1 and entered one checker...herd now has to carefully move 4-1

s+0AIGL/PgMAAA:UYmwAAAAGAAA

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

The main thing here is to minimize shots.  If we leave a blot on the three then he has 11 shots and if we leave it on the 4 he has 13.  Do we give him a 35% chance to hit us, or keep it to 30.5%?  The choice is easy.  The fact that 4/1 also puts a third checker on the roof is gravy. 

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