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Game 2 Move 2 The Herd to play 6-1

Started by ah_clem, October 19, 2010, 10:31:36 PM

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ah_clem

Zorba rolled a 4-2 and brought two down from the midpoint: 13/11 13/9.

So it's our move again.  6-1 is the roll.

Position ID: mGeTASjgc8YDIA
Match ID: cIm4AAAACAAA

ah_clem

Spoiler
With us leading in the match and the race, I don't see the reason for unnecessary risks.  I'd like to run the backman, but don't see any good ways to do it with this roll, so the prosaic but solid 13/7 8/7 for me.

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ah_clem

At 8-0 it's time to move this one along. 

ah_clem

rollout

Spoiler


Another easy decision...


    1. Rollout          13/7 8/7                     Eq.:  +0.053
       0.517 0.130 0.012 - 0.483 0.154 0.006 CL  +0.004 CF  +0.053
      [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.007 CF   0.015]

    2. Rollout          8/2*/1*                      Eq.:  -0.244 ( -0.297)
       0.454 0.136 0.010 - 0.546 0.184 0.008 CL  -0.160 CF  -0.244
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 CL   0.006 CF   0.017]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 899112970 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]



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