Game 2 Move 2 Forum to play 5-1

[ah_clem]

Blitzxz rolled a 5-2 and I nexted the fly shot from the bar.  We now have a 5-1 to play from the bar.

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

We can either hit and try to win, or we can play passively and wait quietly to lose.  I say hit, and hitting on the 7-pt is better than hitting on the 1.  Besides, I'm still yearning to slot the 20-pt. (c:   bar/20 8/7*.

[close]

[ah_clem]

With the vote 5-0, I'm nexting this one.

[ah_clem]

rollout

Spoiler

No surprises here.



    1. Rollout          bar/20 8/7*                  Eq.:  -0.202
       0.460 0.134 0.012 - 0.540 0.162 0.021 CL  -0.113 CF  -0.202
      [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL   0.009 CF   0.021]

    2. Rollout          bar/20 9/8                   Eq.:  -0.310 ( -0.108)
       0.430 0.112 0.009 - 0.570 0.146 0.017 CL  -0.196 CF  -0.310
      [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 CL   0.007 CF   0.017]

    3. Rollout          bar/24 9/4                   Eq.:  -0.406 ( -0.204)
       0.414 0.118 0.010 - 0.586 0.170 0.022 CL  -0.269 CF  -0.406
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL   0.008 CF   0.019]

    4. Rollout          bar/24 6/1*                  Eq.:  -0.431 ( -0.229)
       0.410 0.114 0.007 - 0.590 0.186 0.029 CL  -0.297 CF  -0.431
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL   0.009 CF   0.022]

    5. Rollout          bar/20 23/22                 Eq.:  -0.452 ( -0.250)
       0.411 0.113 0.011 - 0.589 0.189 0.029 CL  -0.307 CF  -0.452
      [0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.003 CL   0.009 CF   0.021]

    6. Rollout          bar/20 24/23                 Eq.:  -0.459 ( -0.257)
       0.404 0.110 0.008 - 0.596 0.172 0.023 CL  -0.300 CF  -0.459
      [0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL   0.008 CF   0.019]

    7. Rollout          bar/24 13/8                  Eq.:  -0.482 ( -0.280)
       0.399 0.113 0.008 - 0.601 0.176 0.024 CL  -0.312 CF  -0.482
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.003 CL   0.009 CF   0.020]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845650837 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

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