FIBS Board backgammon forum
Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM1 => Topic started by: blitzxz on April 19, 2009, 08:16:31 AM
Take or pass?
Spoiler
I think I already said what I would do - and Zorba didnt persuade me any different ;)
But I might sit here and do the silent 'take take take' chant that I sometimes do, when I would like my opponent to take it :laugh: :laugh:
Spoiler
For what it's worth I would take this. Some factors that might influence that.
Black has two checkers out of play on the ace and has already made his 3pt. This points to a blitz being his main winning path, but his checkers aren't well placed for that yet.
The race is even.
There's a lot of skill left in this and a long way to go. Owning the cube at 0-0 to 5 is worth a lot, because the recube to 4 is so powerful.
I accept that this is a very strong double and that rollouts may even show it to be a pass, but I would certainly have taken it quite happily over the board. Make him work for it I say!
Quote from: dorbel on April 19, 2009, 11:18:05 AM
[...] and that rollouts may even show [...]
The
rollout (http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-matches/match-1-game-1-move-9-forum-double-t2366.0.html;msg17659#msg17659) is in the
Forum Double thread.
I'm gonna take my 42.255% match equity into game 2, thank you. Pass.
Meaning, in case you don't know, that, behind 1-0 in a 5pt match the trailer has 42.5% match winning chances. (so we are told by the creator of gnu's match equity table)
In the early 1980's I frequented a bg club in the Georgetown section of DC, and encountered a fellow named Kent Goulding who had a standing offer to spot anyone 1pt in a 5pt match for $100. Lucky for him that was a bit beyond my gambling budget at the time.