Poll
Didn't I ask you to hush....they don't need you leading them into the briar patch
Question: Move? 
Option 1: 24/22, 13/11*, 6/4 (2)
votes: 2
Option 2: 13/11* (2), 6/4 (2)
votes: 3
Option 3: 13/11*/9, 6/4(2)
votes: 1
Option 4: 13/11*, 8/4, 6/4
votes: 0
Title: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: diane on October 21, 2011, 09:48:34 PM
Post by: diane on October 21, 2011, 09:48:34 PM
Some of these 2's are easier than the other 2's
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-11/game-2-move-1-herd-2-2/?action=dlattach;attach=6940;image)
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-11/game-2-move-1-herd-2-2/?action=dlattach;attach=6940;image)
Title: Re: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: stiefnu on October 22, 2011, 05:50:33 PM
Post by: stiefnu on October 22, 2011, 05:50:33 PM
Spoiler
Well, FWIW, I prefer 24/22, 13/11*, 6/4 (2). Making our 4-pt must be right and the hit has to be a good idea too but I don't see the need to make the 11-pt just now. Moving up with 24/22 gives some flexibility and gets us moving, while ah_clem probably has only half a roll to play with. Unless of course Diane rolls him a nice 33 - and you're not going to do that, are you?
:no:
Steve
:no:
Steve
[close]
Title: Re: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: ah_clem on October 22, 2011, 11:57:03 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 22, 2011, 11:57:03 PM
I'd opt for the Herd's move - It's Blitz time, so bring another checker into the zone - no need to play defense yet. "Hey Ho, let's go, shoot 'em in the back now."
Title: Re: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: diane on October 23, 2011, 01:31:46 AM
Post by: diane on October 23, 2011, 01:31:46 AM
Quote from: ah_clem on October 22, 2011, 11:57:03 PM
I'd opt for the Herd's move - It's Blitz time, so bring another checker into the zone - no need to play defense yet. "Hey Ho, let's go, shoot 'em in the back now."
Didn't I ask you to hush....they don't need you leading them into the briar patch
Title: Re: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: stiefnu on October 23, 2011, 04:12:26 PM
Post by: stiefnu on October 23, 2011, 04:12:26 PM
I'll be interested to see the roll out for this one but, as I'm just off to Mexico for three weeks, may not see it before I leave.
Go Herd!
TTFN,
Steve
Go Herd!
TTFN,
Steve
Title: Re: Game 2, move 1: Herd 2-2
Post by: diane on October 23, 2011, 09:23:24 PM
Post by: diane on October 23, 2011, 09:23:24 PM
1. Rollout 13/11*(2) 6/4(2) Eq.: +0.972
0.680 0.255 0.025 - 0.320 0.074 0.007 CL +0.636 CF +0.972
[0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.011]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931638412 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Rollout 24/22 13/11* 6/4(2) Eq.: +0.936 ( -0.037)
0.681 0.254 0.022 - 0.319 0.072 0.006 CL +0.638 CF +0.936
[0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.011]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931638412 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Think this means the move the Herd chose was the best - FYI..I was with you ;)
0.680 0.255 0.025 - 0.320 0.074 0.007 CL +0.636 CF +0.972
[0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.011]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931638412 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Rollout 24/22 13/11* 6/4(2) Eq.: +0.936 ( -0.037)
0.681 0.254 0.022 - 0.319 0.072 0.006 CL +0.638 CF +0.936
[0.001 0.002 0.002 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 CL 0.004 CF 0.011]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 931638412 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Think this means the move the Herd chose was the best - FYI..I was with you ;)