Poll
Question: Move 
Option 1: 15/7, 13/5
votes: 6
Option 2: 15/3, 13/9
votes: 1
Option 3: 15/11, 13/1
votes: 1
Title: Game 1, move 14: Herd 4-4
Post by: diane on April 02, 2012, 09:44:51 AM
Post by: diane on April 02, 2012, 09:44:51 AM
steifnu danced again with 2-6
It seems it might be hard for the Herd to go wrong with this one..so is it that simple? are there pitfalls to avoid?
It seems it might be hard for the Herd to go wrong with this one..so is it that simple? are there pitfalls to avoid?
Title: Re: Game 1, move 14: Herd 4-4
Post by: Julia_H on April 02, 2012, 12:40:00 PM
Post by: Julia_H on April 02, 2012, 12:40:00 PM
Spoiler
15/7 13/5 leaves all numbers playing safely and the men towards the high end of the board, so we'll have time to get a few off before letting him out. 15/11 13/1 is a poorer distribution and 15/3 13/9 must be a blunder because it embarrasses us after 66, 55, 65...
[close]
Title: Re: Game 1, move 14: Herd 4-4
Post by: ah_clem on April 02, 2012, 02:01:55 PM
Post by: ah_clem on April 02, 2012, 02:01:55 PM
If we play 15/3, 13/9 then 66, 65, and 55 force us to leave a shot. That would be a blunder.
The other two rolls allow us to play all our numbers without leaving a shot. 15/7, 13/5 means we'll have to leave a gap if we roll 55, but I think that it's worth risking that to avoid burying a checker on the ace. The two plays are probably quite close, but I think 15/7, 13/5 has the edge.
15/7, 13/5.
The other two rolls allow us to play all our numbers without leaving a shot. 15/7, 13/5 means we'll have to leave a gap if we roll 55, but I think that it's worth risking that to avoid burying a checker on the ace. The two plays are probably quite close, but I think 15/7, 13/5 has the edge.
15/7, 13/5.
Title: Re: Game 1, move 14: Herd 4-4
Post by: stiefnu on April 03, 2012, 10:46:40 AM
Post by: stiefnu on April 03, 2012, 10:46:40 AM
Will the Herd be forced to leave me a gammon-saving shot, followed by an unlikely dance and an unlucky sequence that allows me to recube? Time will tell. Meanwhile, no douible.