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Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?

Author Topic: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?  (Read 3642 times)

Offline diane

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Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« on: March 25, 2012, 05:32:00 AM »
Time for another look at this cube.
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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« on: March 25, 2012, 05:32:00 AM »

Offline Julia_H

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Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2012, 09:09:49 AM »
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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #1 on: March 25, 2012, 09:09:49 AM »

Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #2 on: March 25, 2012, 01:53:25 PM »
Yesterday, I was inclined towards pushing the cube here.  Today, I'm not so sure.

A good strategy in short matches is to get some gammon chances and turn the cube.  We've got significant chances here.   OTOH, the take seems obvious.  Examining PRAT, we have an advantage in position, but are behind in the race and the threats look about even.  That says hold.

OTOOH, We've got a fair amount of market losers, and our opponent has terrible structure with those ugly stacks and a stripped midpoint.  Finally, I've just run through all 36 numbers and every shake covers at least one of our homeboard blots, so this position is stronger than it looks.

I'm going to say ship it. Every roll gives us a four point board and limits his return shots to no more than 1 in 3, and most of those fail to cover his own blot.  PRAT says hold, but there are exceptions and I think this is one.

Offline diane

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Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2012, 09:48:25 AM »
hmmm..should have moved this this morning when it was decided..now it is tied..and I am not sure I want to break it!

I will extend voting period for 12 hours to allow some discussion and rethinking...
Never give up on the things that make you smile

FIBS Board backgammon forum

Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #3 on: March 26, 2012, 09:48:25 AM »

Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube? ROLLOUT
« Reply #4 on: March 28, 2012, 02:28:14 PM »
rollout

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Offline ah_clem

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Re: Game 1, move 6: Herd to Cube?
« Reply #5 on: April 12, 2012, 02:39:58 PM »
revised rollout

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« Last Edit: April 12, 2012, 03:48:52 PM by ah_clem »

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