Print Page - Game 2, move 16: steifnu 2-1

Title: Game 2, move 16: steifnu 2-1
Post by: diane on April 30, 2012, 11:26:49 AM

move?

Title: Re: Game 2, move 16: steifnu 2-1
Post by: stiefnu on April 30, 2012, 07:59:57 PM

With no immediately bad rolls, my best bet must surely be to simply bear two off. 2-off, 1-off.

Title: Re: Game 2, move 16: steifnu 2-1
Post by: ah_clem on April 30, 2012, 10:33:49 PM

rollout

Spoiler

I'm not sure how hard stiefnu thought about hitting, but would have been a double whopper and swamped all our staying errors. Was it worth it to stay in hopes of him making an error? I doubt it. But what's done is done.

XGID=-CCBBBB------------dcAbda-:0:0:-1:21:4:0:1:5:10

1. Rollout¹ 2/Off 1/Off eq:+0.739
Player: 86.94% (G:0.08% B:0.00%)
Opponent: 13.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.001 (+0.738..+0.739) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3.8 seconds

2. Rollout¹ 6/4* 5/4 eq:+0.521 (-0.218)
Player: 75.89% (G:3.49% B:0.07%)
Opponent: 24.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Confidence: ±0.002 (+0.519..+0.524) - [0.0%]
Duration: 34.1 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

[close]

Title: Re: Game 2, move 16: steifnu 2-1
Post by: stiefnu on May 01, 2012, 12:21:06 AM

QuoteI'm not sure how hard stiefnu thought about hitting

Well, I considered it, of course, but leaving a shot against the Herd's closed board seemed a really, really bad idea. So bad, in fact, that I was reluctant to even mention the possibility. :)

FIBS Board backgammon forum

Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 12 => Topic started by: diane on April 30, 2012, 11:26:49 AM