Poll
Given that we are out-boarded I don't think we want to expose a blot. So that leaves only one choice 7/3. Not a great play, but it seems to be the least bad of the bunch.
Question: Move 
Option 1: 7/3
votes: 7
Option 2: 8/7, 8/5
votes: 0
Option 3: 13/10, 7/6
votes: 1
Option 4: 13/9
votes: 0
Option 5: 8/5, 7/6
votes: 0
Title: Game 1, move 4: Herd 3-1
Post by: diane on March 13, 2013, 08:44:37 AM
Post by: diane on March 13, 2013, 08:44:37 AM
ok Herd - you can input to this one ;)
Title: Re: Game 1, move 4: Herd 3-1
Post by: ah_clem on March 13, 2013, 02:19:03 PM
Post by: ah_clem on March 13, 2013, 02:19:03 PM
Spoiler
Given that we are out-boarded I don't think we want to expose a blot. So that leaves only one choice 7/3. Not a great play, but it seems to be the least bad of the bunch.
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Title: Re: Game 1, move 4: Herd 3-1
Post by: Julia_H on March 13, 2013, 03:35:08 PM
Post by: Julia_H on March 13, 2013, 03:35:08 PM
Spoiler
Agreed with 7/3. There aren't any constructive ways to leave a single blot, and leaving two when we have so many men in the outfield is just not on. One in the air, dance, back man steps up to take a pop at a second one and we're staring a gammon in the face. We only need hang on for a couple of turns and something will have to give in the White position.
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Title: Re: Game 1, move 4: Herd 3-1
Post by: ah_clem on March 19, 2013, 07:29:32 PM
Post by: ah_clem on March 19, 2013, 07:29:32 PM
XGR++
No surprises here.
XGID=-aBB--BCB---cB--b-Bbcb-b--:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O O O |
| X O X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X | | |
| O X X | | X X X |
| O X X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 121 O: 120 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 31
1. XG Roller++ 7/3 eq:-0.052
Player: 48.85% (G:7.98% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 51.15% (G:12.06% B:0.30%)
2. XG Roller++ 8/5 7/6 eq:-0.189 (-0.137)
Player: 46.13% (G:10.18% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 53.87% (G:20.77% B:0.50%)
3. XG Roller++ 8/4 eq:-0.224 (-0.172)
Player: 45.26% (G:8.34% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 54.74% (G:19.14% B:0.43%)
4. XG Roller++ 13/10 7/6 eq:-0.231 (-0.179)
Player: 45.26% (G:8.45% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 54.74% (G:18.15% B:0.45%)
5. 3-ply 13/9 eq:-0.248 (-0.196)
Player: 44.73% (G:7.39% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 55.27% (G:16.66% B:0.37%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Spoiler
No surprises here.
XGID=-aBB--BCB---cB--b-Bbcb-b--:0:0:1:31:0:0:0:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:0 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O O O |
| X O X | | O O O O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | |
| | | |
| O X | | |
| O X X | | X X X |
| O X X | | X X X O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 121 O: 120 X-O: 0-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 31
1. XG Roller++ 7/3 eq:-0.052
Player: 48.85% (G:7.98% B:0.14%)
Opponent: 51.15% (G:12.06% B:0.30%)
2. XG Roller++ 8/5 7/6 eq:-0.189 (-0.137)
Player: 46.13% (G:10.18% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 53.87% (G:20.77% B:0.50%)
3. XG Roller++ 8/4 eq:-0.224 (-0.172)
Player: 45.26% (G:8.34% B:0.17%)
Opponent: 54.74% (G:19.14% B:0.43%)
4. XG Roller++ 13/10 7/6 eq:-0.231 (-0.179)
Player: 45.26% (G:8.45% B:0.22%)
Opponent: 54.74% (G:18.15% B:0.45%)
5. 3-ply 13/9 eq:-0.248 (-0.196)
Player: 44.73% (G:7.39% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 55.27% (G:16.66% B:0.37%)
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
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