Game 2, move 3 : Herd 5-2

[diane]

move?

[Julia_H]

Spoiler

24/22 - waste of time, it's not in danger and currently gives us a double shot when White fails to cover the slotted man. Forget that. Now, where do we want to dump our men? Not on the ace, of course; not on our already rather large stacks. 6/4 8/3 looks too wide open - after a hit and cover we're in bad shape anyway, but after a hit with no cover, do we really want to be shooting back with blots strewn everywhere? I think 10/3 - the man on 10 will be a liability as White's board fills in, and we do need to start building a board behind White's anchor ready for when we actually hit something.

[close]

[KDP]

Spoiler

10-3 the best choice for a bad roll.

[close]

[ah_clem]

No cube in sight yet, so no harm in posting a rollout

Spoiler

The Herd's choice is the least bad option

Position ID: yOfgAQPg88QAJg
Match ID: cImqAAAACAAE


    1. Rollout          10/3                         Eq.:  -0.357
       0.402 0.086 0.004 - 0.598 0.135 0.005 CL  -0.265 CF  -0.357
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.006 CF   0.014]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 678757093 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
    2. Rollout          8/3 6/4                      Eq.:  -0.380 ( -0.023)
       0.402 0.097 0.008 - 0.598 0.160 0.009 CL  -0.285 CF  -0.380
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.006 CF   0.017]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 678757093 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
    3. Rollout          10/8 6/1                     Eq.:  -0.436 ( -0.079)
       0.382 0.083 0.005 - 0.618 0.143 0.007 CL  -0.324 CF  -0.436
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.006 CF   0.013]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 678757093 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
    4. Rollout          24/22 8/3                    Eq.:  -0.472 ( -0.115)
       0.377 0.086 0.007 - 0.623 0.140 0.006 CL  -0.333 CF  -0.472
      [0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 CL   0.006 CF   0.014]
        Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
        1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 678757093 and quasi-random dice
        Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
        Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

[close]