Poll
Question: Move 
Option 1: 18/10
votes: 0
Option 2: 13/11, 13/7
votes: 1
Option 3: 13/7, 6/4
votes: 7
Option 4: 13/7, 4/2
votes: 0
Option 5: 13/7, 3/1
votes: 0
Option 6: 18/16, 13/7
votes: 0
Title: Game 2, move 7 : Herd 6-2
Post by: diane on April 07, 2013, 07:35:39 AM
Post by: diane on April 07, 2013, 07:35:39 AM
Erm...dont blame the dice holder.... ;)
Title: Re: Game 2, move 7 : Herd 6-2
Post by: KDP on April 07, 2013, 12:32:13 PM
Post by: KDP on April 07, 2013, 12:32:13 PM
Spoiler
are these dice cocked? they look cocked to me, i think we should re-roll. no? oh well i would play 13-7 6-4 duplicating his ones giving us a change to possibly remake the bar next roll if not hit and unstacking the 6
[close]
Title: Re: Game 2, move 7 : Herd 6-2
Post by: ah_clem on April 09, 2013, 02:42:08 PM
Post by: ah_clem on April 09, 2013, 02:42:08 PM
rollout
It doesn't matter which play we make here -unless we make a really awful play that makes Linus too good we get cubed out immediately.
XGID=--ABBbE-----bB---bBdabbA--:0:0:1:62:1:0:0:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:1 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O O O X |
| X O X | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O | | X O X X |
| O | | X O X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 125 X-O: 1-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 62
1. Rollout¹ 13/7 6/4 eq:-1.000
Player: 29.72% (G:9.36% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 70.28% (G:39.67% B:2.57%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 9 minutes 24 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq:-1.000
Player: 27.56% (G:7.86% B:0.55%)
Opponent: 72.44% (G:38.51% B:2.44%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 9 minutes 36 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/7 4/2 eq:-1.000
Player: 26.92% (G:8.06% B:0.76%)
Opponent: 73.08% (G:41.26% B:2.64%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 7 minutes 43 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 18/10 eq:-1.101 (-0.101)
Player: 23.75% (G:6.27% B:0.61%)
Opponent: 76.25% (G:44.21% B:3.67%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-1.111..-1.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 50 seconds
5. 3-ply 13/7 3/1 eq:-1.148 (-0.148)
Player: 23.75% (G:5.89% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 76.25% (G:47.49% B:4.01%)
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Spoiler
It doesn't matter which play we make here -unless we make a really awful play that makes Linus too good we get cubed out immediately.
XGID=--ABBbE-----bB---bBdabbA--:0:0:1:62:1:0:0:5:10
X:Player 1 O:Player 2
Score is X:1 O:0 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X O X | | O O O O X |
| X O X | | O O O |
| | | O |
| | | O |
| | | |
| |BAR| |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| | | X |
| O | | X O X X |
| O | | X O X X X |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count X: 131 O: 125 X-O: 1-0/5
Cube: 1
X to play 62
1. Rollout¹ 13/7 6/4 eq:-1.000
Player: 29.72% (G:9.36% B:0.44%)
Opponent: 70.28% (G:39.67% B:2.57%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 9 minutes 24 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/11 13/7 eq:-1.000
Player: 27.56% (G:7.86% B:0.55%)
Opponent: 72.44% (G:38.51% B:2.44%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 9 minutes 36 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/7 4/2 eq:-1.000
Player: 26.92% (G:8.06% B:0.76%)
Opponent: 73.08% (G:41.26% B:2.64%)
Confidence: ±0.000 (-1.000..-1.000) - [33.3%]
Duration: 7 minutes 43 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 18/10 eq:-1.101 (-0.101)
Player: 23.75% (G:6.27% B:0.61%)
Opponent: 76.25% (G:44.21% B:3.67%)
Confidence: ±0.010 (-1.111..-1.091) - [0.0%]
Duration: 9 minutes 50 seconds
5. 3-ply 13/7 3/1 eq:-1.148 (-0.148)
Player: 23.75% (G:5.89% B:0.20%)
Opponent: 76.25% (G:47.49% B:4.01%)
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
[close]