FIBS Board backgammon forum

Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 15 => Topic started by: diane on May 16, 2013, 09:01:18 PM

Poll
Question: Move
Option 1: 23/21, 9/4 votes: 8
Option 2: 13/8, 9/7 votes: 0
Option 3: 9/4, 6/4 votes: 0
Option 4: 24/22, 9/4 votes: 0
Option 5: 9/2 votes: 0
Option 6: 23/21, 6/1* votes: 0
Option 7: 9/7, 6/1* votes: 0
Title: Game 5, move 6 : Herd 5-2
Post by: diane on May 16, 2013, 09:01:18 PM
move?
Title: Re: Game 5, move 6 : Herd 5-2
Post by: KDP on May 17, 2013, 12:33:02 AM
Spoiler
this is an interesting position.  we are ahead in the race and have fewer men back than our opponent yet i think we are a pretty big underdog to win this game. so whats our plan?  i dont want to hit loose and we cant leave more blots so the 5 is 9-4, so what the play for the 2? i think we have to move up to the edge of his prime.  that gives us a decent chance to either jump out or anchor assuming we arent hit.  if we play passively and move 6-4 we are asking to get primed.  i'll take my chances coming in under the gun. 23-21 9-4
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Title: Re: Game 5, move 6 : Herd 5-2
Post by: ah_clem on May 18, 2013, 01:40:05 PM
rollout

Spoiler

This one is as obvious as it seemed. 2nd best is up for grabs, but who cares about that?






XGID=-a--BbDBBA--aB--bbbcb--AA-:0:0:1:52:4:1:1:5:10

X:Player 1   O:Player 2
Score is X:4 O:1 5 pt.(s) match.
+13-14-15-16-17-18------19-20-21-22-23-24-+
| X        O  O  O |   | O  O        X  X |
| X        O  O  O |   | O  O             |
|                  |   | O                |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |BAR|                  |
|                  |   |                  |
|                  |   | X                |
|                  |   | X                |
|             X  X |   | X  O  X          |
| O        X  X  X |   | X  O  X        O |
+12-11-10--9--8--7-------6--5--4--3--2--1-+
Pip count  X: 144  O: 153 X-O: 4-1/5 Crawford
Cube: 1
X to play 52

    1. XG Roller++ 23/21 9/4                    eq:-0.527
      Player:   33.53% (G:9.00% B:0.42%)
      Opponent: 66.47% (G:19.19% B:0.86%)

    2. XG Roller++ 24/22 9/4                    eq:-0.605 (-0.078)
      Player:   29.88% (G:6.98% B:0.28%)
      Opponent: 70.12% (G:19.68% B:0.74%)

    3. XG Roller++ 23/21 6/1*                   eq:-0.606 (-0.079)
      Player:   31.13% (G:8.28% B:0.37%)
      Opponent: 68.87% (G:22.15% B:1.55%)

    4. 3-ply       9/4 6/4                      eq:-0.620 (-0.093)
      Player:   28.92% (G:6.84% B:0.27%)
      Opponent: 71.08% (G:19.26% B:0.93%)

    5. 3-ply       9/7 6/1*                     eq:-0.628 (-0.101)
      Player:   28.58% (G:6.22% B:0.18%)
      Opponent: 71.42% (G:19.36% B:1.04%)


eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2


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