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FIBS Board backgammon forum

Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 16 => Topic started by: diane on July 09, 2013, 11:16:19 AM

Title: Game 2, move 3: Roderick 5-4
Post by: diane on July 09, 2013, 11:16:19 AM
move? [this feels weird  ;) ]
Title: Re: Game 2, move 3: Roderick 5-4
Post by: Roderick on July 09, 2013, 02:14:01 PM
Sorry.  I got back in last night.  Had a busy tourney.  I'll be back to pre-moving after this play :-)

I'm torn between hitting one and hitting two.  I'm going to opt for 13/4*.  You're board is completely unmade which seems to cry out for the more aggressive play but it leaves me a touch stripped with 2 checkers to bring around.  Both plays seem pretty decent.  4 fewer return hits with my play but since they're all on my 4 the extra 5 hits are more painful.
Title: Re: Game 2, move 3: Roderick 5-4
Post by: Roderick on July 10, 2013, 02:07:20 AM
Since I just did th rollout on herd's last play figured I'd do one on my 5-4 here.

The double hit is correct (86.5% likelihood - only 1296 on the rollout) of being correct and was 0.010 better than the single hit.
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