Poll
Question: 
Option 1: 8/5(2) 6/3(2)
Option 2: 13/7 (2)
Option 3: 13/10(2) 8/5(2)
Option 4: 13/10(2) 6/3(2)
Title: Fibsboard Forum Match 17 Game 2 Move 4 Herd to play
Post by: stog on January 07, 2014, 12:28:02 PM
Post by: stog on January 07, 2014, 12:28:02 PM
33
Title: Re: Fibsboard Forum Match 17 Game 2 Move 4 Herd to play
Post by: ah_clem on January 09, 2014, 02:40:03 AM
Post by: ah_clem on January 09, 2014, 02:40:03 AM
rollout
I find these early 33 plays confusing, but I and the rest of the herd got this one right.
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---b-db-BA--:0:0:1:33:4:0:1:5:10
1. Rollout¹ 8/5(2) 6/3(2) eq:-0.138
Player: 44.05% (G:12.94% B:1.27%)
Opponent: 55.95% (G:14.78% B:0.64%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.143..-0.133) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 02 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/10(2) 6/3(2) eq:-0.153 (-0.015)
Player: 43.38% (G:12.34% B:1.34%)
Opponent: 56.62% (G:16.46% B:0.70%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.159..-0.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/10(2) 8/5(2) eq:-0.195 (-0.057)
Player: 41.44% (G:12.44% B:1.11%)
Opponent: 58.56% (G:18.30% B:0.84%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.201..-0.189) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 31 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 13/7(2) eq:-0.215 (-0.077)
Player: 40.37% (G:9.95% B:0.87%)
Opponent: 59.63% (G:17.31% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.220..-0.210) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 8/5(3) 6/3 eq:-0.218 (-0.080)
Player: 40.27% (G:10.43% B:0.93%)
Opponent: 59.73% (G:18.94% B:0.75%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.224..-0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
Spoiler
I find these early 33 plays confusing, but I and the rest of the herd got this one right.
XGID=-a----E-Ca--eD---b-db-BA--:0:0:1:33:4:0:1:5:10
1. Rollout¹ 8/5(2) 6/3(2) eq:-0.138
Player: 44.05% (G:12.94% B:1.27%)
Opponent: 55.95% (G:14.78% B:0.64%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.143..-0.133) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 02 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 13/10(2) 6/3(2) eq:-0.153 (-0.015)
Player: 43.38% (G:12.34% B:1.34%)
Opponent: 56.62% (G:16.46% B:0.70%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.159..-0.148) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 16 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 13/10(2) 8/5(2) eq:-0.195 (-0.057)
Player: 41.44% (G:12.44% B:1.11%)
Opponent: 58.56% (G:18.30% B:0.84%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.201..-0.189) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 31 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 13/7(2) eq:-0.215 (-0.077)
Player: 40.37% (G:9.95% B:0.87%)
Opponent: 59.63% (G:17.31% B:0.78%)
Confidence: ±0.005 (-0.220..-0.210) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 8/5(3) 6/3 eq:-0.218 (-0.080)
Player: 40.27% (G:10.43% B:0.93%)
Opponent: 59.73% (G:18.94% B:0.75%)
Confidence: ±0.006 (-0.224..-0.212) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 20 seconds
¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
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