Poll
Question: Herd to play 21 
Option 1: 13/10
votes: 3
Option 2: 10/9*/7
votes: 0
Option 3: 10/9* 18/16
votes: 4
Option 4: 10/9* 13/11
votes: 0
Option 5: 10/9* 24/22
votes: 1
Title: FFM19 Game 1 Move 6 Herd to play 21
Post by: Julia_H on June 15, 2014, 08:25:59 AM
Post by: Julia_H on June 15, 2014, 08:25:59 AM
Plenty of options here. Anyone want to make a case for one of them?
Title: Re: FFM19 Game 1 Move 6 Herd to play 21
Post by: KDP on June 15, 2014, 02:29:36 PM
Post by: KDP on June 15, 2014, 02:29:36 PM
Spoiler
this one takes a bit of thought. if you hit, what do you do with the 2? no matter what you move you still have 3 blots laying around. and while hitting is usually a good way to go, i think in this case i would play the quiet 13-10 making a point, and cleaning up some of the blots. cleaning up your position and leaving fewer blots i think is the best way to go long term.
[close]
Title: Re: FFM19 Game 1 Move 6 Herd to play 21
Post by: dorbel on June 15, 2014, 08:01:17 PM
Post by: dorbel on June 15, 2014, 08:01:17 PM
Spoiler
Making a point and getting down to two blots with the "quiet" 13/10 is a reasonable play, but its major drawback in my view is that it applies no particular pressure to Red and leaves him free to play his whole roll next turn. I like 18/16, 10/9*, taking away half his next roll and duplicating fours.
[close]
Title: Re: FFM19 Game 1 Move 6 Herd to play 21
Post by: dorbel on June 16, 2014, 05:36:18 PM
Post by: dorbel on June 16, 2014, 05:36:18 PM
1,296 games later, XG thinks that the hit is better by 0.002 ppg, so not very significant or as it happens, definitive.
However the hit wins a few more gammons, the quiet play a few more games, so you might select hitting if trailing, the quiet play if leading.
However the hit wins a few more gammons, the quiet play a few more games, so you might select hitting if trailing, the quiet play if leading.