The TEAM (blue) rolled a 5-3, since running is very dangerous now and we can clear the 9pt 9/6 9/4 quite comfortably, I'll NEXT it, then it's again cube decision time for roadkillbooks (white):
Spoiler
NO DOUBLE, Again low volatiltiy on my move. I probally have more chances of wishing i hadn't doubled "crashers", compared with times I wish I had "cashers" The time will come soon and it looks like serveral move may well be forced.
Spoiler
20/18, 15/14 Pretty clear. The only subtlety is the one from 15/14> ITs better than 6/5 because only 5-5 will hit which is a joker anyway. so it takes away 6/5, dance as bad sequences
Cube decision 2-ply ROLLOUT:
Spoiler
It's still a big take, with almost 35% winning chances for us, and not many gammon losses. With volatility pretty low, it's better to wait.
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube (No double):
65,27 10,27 0,60 - 34,73 4,22 0,08 CL +0,4037 CF +0,7614
[ 0,06 0,10 0,08 - 0,06 0,06 0,02 CL 0,0019 CF 0,0047]
Player FIBSBoard forum owns 2-cube (Double, take):
65,49 10,68 0,80 - 34,51 4,22 0,06 CL +1,0215 CF +0,7110 (-0,0504)
[ 0,07 0,12 0,09 - 0,07 0,06 0,00 CL 0,0045 CF 0,0055]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 863038590 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
No double, Take