Question:
5-1?
Option 1: bar/24 23/18
votes: 0
Option 2: bar/24 13/8
votes: 0
Option 3: bar/24 9/4
votes: 0
Option 4: bar/24 6/1*
votes: 0
Option 5: bar/24 8/3
votes: 0
Option 6: bar/20 9/8
votes: 0
Option 7: bar/20 8/7*
votes: 5
Option 8: bar/20 6/5
votes: 0
Option 9: bar/20 24/23
votes: 0
Blitzxz rolled a 5-2 and I nexted the fly shot from the bar. We now have a 5-1 to play from the bar.
Spoiler
We can either hit and try to win, or we can play passively and wait quietly to lose. I say hit, and hitting on the 7-pt is better than hitting on the 1. Besides, I'm still yearning to slot the 20-pt. (c: bar/20 8/7*.
rollout
Spoiler
No surprises here.
1. Rollout bar/20 8/7* Eq.: -0.202
0.460 0.134 0.012 - 0.540 0.162 0.021 CL -0.113 CF -0.202
[0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL 0.009 CF 0.021]
2. Rollout bar/20 9/8 Eq.: -0.310 ( -0.108)
0.430 0.112 0.009 - 0.570 0.146 0.017 CL -0.196 CF -0.310
[0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.002 CL 0.007 CF 0.017]
3. Rollout bar/24 9/4 Eq.: -0.406 ( -0.204)
0.414 0.118 0.010 - 0.586 0.170 0.022 CL -0.269 CF -0.406
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL 0.008 CF 0.019]
4. Rollout bar/24 6/1* Eq.: -0.431 ( -0.229)
0.410 0.114 0.007 - 0.590 0.186 0.029 CL -0.297 CF -0.431
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL 0.009 CF 0.022]
5. Rollout bar/20 23/22 Eq.: -0.452 ( -0.250)
0.411 0.113 0.011 - 0.589 0.189 0.029 CL -0.307 CF -0.452
[0.002 0.002 0.002 - 0.002 0.002 0.003 CL 0.009 CF 0.021]
6. Rollout bar/20 24/23 Eq.: -0.459 ( -0.257)
0.404 0.110 0.008 - 0.596 0.172 0.023 CL -0.300 CF -0.459
[0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 CL 0.008 CF 0.019]
7. Rollout bar/24 13/8 Eq.: -0.482 ( -0.280)
0.399 0.113 0.008 - 0.601 0.176 0.024 CL -0.312 CF -0.482
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.003 0.003 CL 0.009 CF 0.020]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 845650837 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
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