Poll
4/off 2/off should win most gammons, and it's still pretty safe overall, so I don't see a need not to rip 2 off. OINK!
socksey
"But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought." - George Orwell
Question: Move?
Option 1: 4/off, 4/2
votes: 6
Option 2: 4/off, 2/off
votes: 2
Option 3: 5/1, 5/3
votes: 1
Title: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: diane on August 10, 2010, 09:37:20 AM
Post by: diane on August 10, 2010, 09:37:20 AM
A few 'next' moves took place after r_monk moved,
Herd:4-6, 6/off, 6/2
r_monk: 6-2, 24/16
Herd: 2-4, 5/1*, 3/1
r_monk: 4-4
Now herd has a few choices with how to play this for the best.
37YBEEC7vQEAAA:QQmxAAAAAAAA
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-6/game-1-move-19-herd-to-move-4-2/?action=dlattach;attach=4904;image)
Herd:4-6, 6/off, 6/2
r_monk: 6-2, 24/16
Herd: 2-4, 5/1*, 3/1
r_monk: 4-4
Now herd has a few choices with how to play this for the best.
37YBEEC7vQEAAA:QQmxAAAAAAAA
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-6/game-1-move-19-herd-to-move-4-2/?action=dlattach;attach=4904;image)
Title: Re: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: Zorba on August 10, 2010, 02:29:00 PM
Post by: Zorba on August 10, 2010, 02:29:00 PM
Spoiler
4/off 2/off should win most gammons, and it's still pretty safe overall, so I don't see a need not to rip 2 off. OINK!
[close]
Title: Re: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: stog on August 10, 2010, 03:27:18 PM
Post by: stog on August 10, 2010, 03:27:18 PM
Spoiler
i like the 'oink' play too, but chose the patient 4 off ,4,2 in the hope that i would be invited back for dinner soon :)
[close]
Title: Re: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: socksey on August 10, 2010, 10:16:12 PM
Post by: socksey on August 10, 2010, 10:16:12 PM
Spoiler
I like playing safe with this one and go with the 5/3, 5/1 play. I've been caught too many times with a 6/1 roll on the next roll which could put us in jeopardy for the next roll after that. :ohmy:
[close]
socksey
"But if thought corrupts language, language can also corrupt thought." - George Orwell
Title: Re: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: ah_clem on August 10, 2010, 11:41:07 PM
Post by: ah_clem on August 10, 2010, 11:41:07 PM
oink!
Title: Re: Game 1, move 19: Herd to move 4-2
Post by: ah_clem on August 15, 2010, 05:38:40 AM
Post by: ah_clem on August 15, 2010, 05:38:40 AM
rollout
gnubg 0-ply is a fellow pig too. Oink.
1. Rollout 4/off 2/off Eq.: +1.278
0.989 0.221 0.001 - 0.011 0.000 0.000 CL +1.283 CF +1.278
[0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 CL 0.002 CF 0.002]
2. Rollout 4/2 4/off Eq.: +1.229 ( -0.049)
0.993 0.179 0.001 - 0.007 0.000 0.000 CL +1.232 CF +1.229
[0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 CL 0.002 CF 0.002]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 893898012 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Spoiler
gnubg 0-ply is a fellow pig too. Oink.
1. Rollout 4/off 2/off Eq.: +1.278
0.989 0.221 0.001 - 0.011 0.000 0.000 CL +1.283 CF +1.278
[0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 CL 0.002 CF 0.002]
2. Rollout 4/2 4/off Eq.: +1.229 ( -0.049)
0.993 0.179 0.001 - 0.007 0.000 0.000 CL +1.232 CF +1.229
[0.000 0.001 0.000 - 0.000 0.000 0.000 CL 0.002 CF 0.002]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 893898012 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
[close]