Poll
Making the bar point seems pretty obvious, but I don't have quite the confidence to next this one. Anybody have a good reason to play something else?
BTW, we're pausing for a cube decision unless Z rolls double sixes.
Question: Herd to play 6-3
Option 1: 22/13
votes: 0
Option 2: 22/16 13/10
votes: 0
Option 3: 13/7 13/10
votes: 1
Option 4: 13/7 10/7
votes: 8
Option 5: 10/4 8/5
votes: 0
Title: Game 1 Move 3 The Herd to play 6-3
Post by: ah_clem on October 05, 2010, 10:53:53 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 05, 2010, 10:53:53 PM
Herd to play 6-3
Position ID: Zs7BAQzY5sQBDA
Match ID: cIm5AAAAAAAA
Position ID: Zs7BAQzY5sQBDA
Match ID: cIm5AAAAAAAA
Title: Re: Game 1 Move 3 The Herd to play 6-3
Post by: ah_clem on October 05, 2010, 10:58:02 PM
Post by: ah_clem on October 05, 2010, 10:58:02 PM
Spoiler
Making the bar point seems pretty obvious, but I don't have quite the confidence to next this one. Anybody have a good reason to play something else?
BTW, we're pausing for a cube decision unless Z rolls double sixes.
[close]
Title: Re: Game 1 Move 3 The Herd to play 6-3
Post by: r_monk on October 05, 2010, 11:09:37 PM
Post by: r_monk on October 05, 2010, 11:09:37 PM
Spoiler
I think making the bar point is obvious. I really don't see anything else; it's just another nice roll. What comes next, I don't know. Of course Zorba's position is pretty strong with the anchor he has. But, apart from a double 6 he can't easily escape his runners.
For now, we don't have that problem.
For now, we don't have that problem.
[close]
Title: Re: Game 1 Move 3 The Herd to play 6-3
Post by: ah_clem on October 08, 2010, 04:13:48 AM
Post by: ah_clem on October 08, 2010, 04:13:48 AM
bot results
No need to roll this one out. 2-ply analysis is enough.
1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7 10/7 Eq.: +0.583
0.653 0.149 0.003 - 0.347 0.074 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/4 Eq.: +0.260 ( -0.323)
0.565 0.146 0.004 - 0.435 0.096 0.003
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3. Cubeful 0-ply 13/10 8/2 Eq.: +0.228 ( -0.355)
0.559 0.145 0.003 - 0.441 0.104 0.003
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
4. Cubeful 0-ply 10/4 8/5 Eq.: +0.226 ( -0.358)
0.554 0.148 0.003 - 0.446 0.098 0.002
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Spoiler
No need to roll this one out. 2-ply analysis is enough.
1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/7 10/7 Eq.: +0.583
0.653 0.149 0.003 - 0.347 0.074 0.002
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/4 Eq.: +0.260 ( -0.323)
0.565 0.146 0.004 - 0.435 0.096 0.003
2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3. Cubeful 0-ply 13/10 8/2 Eq.: +0.228 ( -0.355)
0.559 0.145 0.003 - 0.441 0.104 0.003
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
4. Cubeful 0-ply 10/4 8/5 Eq.: +0.226 ( -0.358)
0.554 0.148 0.003 - 0.446 0.098 0.002
0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
[close]