Game 3 move 8 The Herd to play 5-1

[ah_clem]

Zorba rolled a 4-2 and entered one checker.  Our next roll is 5-1.

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

It's hard to argue against covering the blot.  Then it seems like playing the one as 8/7 is obvious.  Slotting the five seems unnecessarily risky.

I don't want him to anchor, but hitting loose and leaving a second blot seems over enthusiastic.

8/7 6/1

[close]

[ah_clem]

Ok, the vote's 5-0, and seems like a next, so I'm going to call it early.

[ah_clem]

gnubg results

Spoiler

I didn't bother to roll this one out.  2-ply analysis has our play best with everything else being a double whopper.


    1. Cubeful 2-ply    8/7 6/1                      Eq.:  +0.520
       0.745 0.320 0.011 - 0.255 0.048 0.001
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
    2. Cubeful 2-ply    8/2*                         Eq.:  +0.261 ( -0.259)
       0.673 0.362 0.023 - 0.327 0.109 0.004
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
    3. Cubeful 2-ply    6/5 6/1                      Eq.:  +0.233 ( -0.287)
       0.667 0.329 0.015 - 0.333 0.107 0.004
        2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
    4. Cubeful 0-ply    6/1 3/2*                     Eq.:  +0.173 ( -0.348)
       0.653 0.349 0.015 - 0.347 0.121 0.006
        0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

[close]