FIBS Board backgammon forum
Backgammon => Fibsboard Forum Matches => FFM 9 => Topic started by: diane on March 02, 2011, 08:16:15 PM
So..is it time yet?
Position ID: 8M7gASSYt8EjAA
Match ID: MAGgAAAAAAAA
(http://www.fibsboard.com/fibsboard-forum-match-9/game-1-move-5-gaspar-cube-decision/?action=dlattach;attach=5819;image)
well i would say i am the favourite right now but diane's hungry boxer is nipping my heels...i'll feel more comfortable taking a shake and seeing what tomorrow brings. How long is the match btw
cube decisions i use kit's rule about being ahead in 2 of 3...position.. race...and what's the other one..
Reminds me of my old boss who used to always tell me : "tom, there's 3 things in life that are the most important : Your health; your time and ....well i couldnt remember for the life of me what the 3rd one was ....I went through the list was it kids, good wife, money......finally years later i saw the old man and asked him ..
"mr. yeats remember you told me once that there were 3 things in life that were the most important : health, time...and what was the third?"
well the old curmudgeon turned to me and said " you stupid bastard tom, there was only two: heath and time ...that's it"
so maybe the kit cube rule is only two....that being said ....seeing how i am short of spares and i still got one checker to save i'll throw diane's fido a bone and wait a roll...
Threat...was it?? ;)
I am surprised...but will roll for you when I get home..as always, thanks for the smile!!
gnubg results
Spoiler
Both 2-ply analysis and 0-ply rollout agree that this is a double/pass. Analysis has the take/pass decision pretty close (.027) while rollout says that taking is a whopper.
2-ply analysis:
Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.582 (Money: +0.583)
0.725 0.180 0.005 - 0.275 0.052 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.027 ( +0.027)
3. No double +0.867 ( -0.133)
Proper cube action: Double, pass
0-ply rollout:
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.733 0.177 0.006 - 0.267 0.048 0.001 CL +0.609 CF +0.914
[0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 CL 0.003 CF 0.009]
Player The Herd owns 2-cube:
0.743 0.174 0.007 - 0.257 0.044 0.003 CL +1.333 CF +1.131
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.001 0.001 CL 0.010 CF 0.013]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 878686117 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.131 ( +0.131)
3. No double +0.914 ( -0.086)
Proper cube action: Double, pass