Game 1, move 5: gaspar cube decision

[diane]

So..is it time yet?

Position ID: 8M7gASSYt8EjAA
Match ID: MAGgAAAAAAAA

[gaspar]

well i would say i am the favourite right now but diane's hungry boxer is nipping my heels...i'll feel more comfortable taking a shake and seeing what tomorrow brings.  How long is the match btw 

cube decisions i use kit's rule about being ahead in 2 of 3...position.. race...and what's the other one..

Reminds me of my old boss who used to always tell me : "tom, there's 3 things in life that are the most important : Your health; your time and ....well i couldnt remember for the life of me what the 3rd one was ....I went through the list was it kids, good wife, money......finally years later i saw the old man and asked him ..
"mr. yeats remember you told me once that there were 3 things in life that were the most important : health, time...and what was the third?"

well the old curmudgeon turned to me and said " you stupid bastard tom, there was only two: heath and time ...that's it"

so maybe the kit cube rule is only two....that being said ....seeing how i am short of spares and i still got one checker to save i'll throw diane's fido a bone and wait a roll... 

[diane]

Threat...was it?? 

I am surprised...but will roll for you when I get home..as always, thanks for the smile!!

[ah_clem]

gnubg results

Spoiler

Both 2-ply analysis and 0-ply rollout agree that this is a double/pass.  Analysis has the take/pass decision pretty close (.027) while rollout says that taking is a whopper.



2-ply analysis:
Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity  +0.582 (Money:  +0.583)
  0.725 0.180 0.005 - 0.275 0.052 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass         +1.000
2. Double, take         +1.027  ( +0.027)
3. No double            +0.867  ( -0.133)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

0-ply rollout:
Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
  0.733 0.177 0.006 - 0.267 0.048 0.001 CL  +0.609 CF  +0.914
[0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 CL   0.003 CF   0.009]
Player The Herd owns 2-cube:
  0.743 0.174 0.007 - 0.257 0.044 0.003 CL  +1.333 CF  +1.131
[0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.001 0.001 CL   0.010 CF   0.013]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 878686117 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful prune [expert]

Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass         +1.000
2. Double, take         +1.131  ( +0.131)
3. No double            +0.914  ( -0.086)
Proper cube action: Double, pass

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