Herd: cube decision

[diane]

Position ID: hs8HA0BtM8QABw
Match ID: cAmgABAAAAAA

Gaspar danced again with 6-2, our roll...

I do think a cube is lurking..if not now, sometime soon. I therefore thought I would ask again.

[ah_clem]

Spoiler

I have no idea whether this is a double or not.  And every time I try to think about it I'm reminded of the GWC from the rollout two moves before - which don't tell me the answer, but are enough of a factor in my decision process that I'm just going to have to recuse myself from this cube decision.  So y'all are on your own for this one.

[close]

[stog]

Spoiler

why did i vote no to the cube? is it because it could become too good, or is it because it could turn horrible. numerically are we ahead?, positionally maybe. would i take ? yes i would, and the game is too early, not to expect that cube to come flying back. i vote to wait

[close]

[socksey]

Spoiler

I agree with stog on no cube for the same reasons.  While I was thinking how to say it, stog said it for me and very well.   

[close]

[ah_clem]

rollout

Spoiler

Holding the cube here is a whopper.






Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take         +0.669
2. Double, pass         +1.000  ( +0.331)
3. No double            +0.564  ( -0.105)
Proper cube action: Double, take


Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
  0.614 0.259 0.003 - 0.386 0.085 0.005 CL  +0.406 CF  +0.564
[0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.001 CL   0.004 CF   0.011]
Player Gaspar owns 2-cube:
  0.617 0.257 0.003 - 0.383 0.103 0.009 CL  +0.991 CF  +0.669
[0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 CL   0.013 CF   0.018]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 882573024 and quasi-random dice
Play: 0-ply cubeful [expert]
Cube: 0-ply cubeful [expert]

[close]