My first instinct is to play 12/5. That leaves one guy back in case the herd decides to go stampeding, and gives me ammo back home.
But wait! I can make the 9 point. If I were the herd, I wouldn't want me to do that, so it must be a good play.
I suppose I can also play 15/8, but that feels worse than 15/9 10/9, so I'll ignore it.
If I stare at the board for a long time and play analytically rather than intuitively, I'll also spot 12/6 15/14. This might actually be a better play because it leaves one fly shot (55) instead of two with any of the others, but it offends my sense of aesthetics. I don't like piling two checkers on the six point, since flexibility seems valuable.
Oh, I dunno. Maybe I should throw darts at a dartboard? I'll just play 12/5, since it's the first one I saw. It might be the wrong play, but I doubt it's a whopper of an error.